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The Guardian

Rory McIlroy surges into six-shot Masters lead with stunning second-round flourish ‘That’ll be the end’: actor Sam Neill joins fight to stop controversial goldmine near his New Zealand vineyard Roberto De Zerbi targets ‘Ange-ball’ revival to save Spurs from relegation Bath hit back to reach semi-final after stunning Northampton in 11-try epic Secret Garden to Outcome: the week in rave reviews Zebras, wealth and power: Hungary’s election tests Orbán’s grip on power ‘TikTok effect’ brings sellout crowds and younger fans to Grand National meeting The war over Omagh’s gold: the £21bn mine plan tearing a community apart Britain’s shadow workforce is paid as little as 65p an hour. Who cares for the carers? From You, Me & Tuscany to Euphoria: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead Six great reads: the man who let snakes bite him, masked heavy metal and the brutal reality for foreign students in the UK American Classic review – I defy you not to fall in love with Kevin Kline and Laura Linney’s tender comedy Cuba’s doctors were a lifeline for the world. Now the Caribbean is shamefully complicit in the US drive to expel them An environmental disaster in Moldova has Russia’s fingerprints all over it RMIT drops misconduct case against student who accused university of being ‘complicit in Gaza genocide’ Ichiro Suzuki statue unveiling goes awry as bronze bat snaps during ceremony Survivors of Epstein’s abuse accuse Melania Trump of ‘shifting burden’ on to victims European football: Real Madrid held at home by Girona to extend winless run Arne Slot insists he is ‘aligned’ with Liverpool board and fans as squad is rebuilt Kamala Harris ‘thinking about’ running for president again in 2028 JD Vance warns Iran against trying to ‘play’ the US in peace talks West Ham double up twice to thrash Wolves and put Spurs in relegation zone Trump administration releases new renderings of so-called ‘Arc de Trump’ Crispin Odey drops £79m libel claim against FT over sexual misconduct allegations Bafta apologises for events surrounding John Davidson’s Tourette’s outburst Cocktail of the week: Bar Shrimp’s la rosita – recipe New drug may extend survival in aggressive ovarian cancer, trial shows One dead and 27 injured after bus with British passengers crashes in Canary Islands Pope adds to Smith’s mass of Surrey runs with England woes a world away OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s home targeted with molotov cocktail Reform UK local election candidate was twice disciplined by Tories over ‘racist comments’ Remaining in Nato is in best interests of US, says Keir Starmer Prince Harry sued for defamation by charity he co-founded Anthropic’s new AI tool has implications for us all – whether we can use it or not Concerns raised about motorbike tourist trail after death of British teenager in Vietnam The Guardian view on Trump’s civilisational threats: the words that fuel war must be condemned The Guardian view on dystopias for our times: the American nightmare Doctors’ leader claims new reduced pay offer killed chances of ending strikes in England Netanyahu-ism has achieved nothing for Israelis – and come at a monstrously high price Deborah Levy: ‘CS Lewis’s White Witch terrified me – but I wanted to meet her’ How I Shop with Michelle Ogundehin: ‘We grownups have enough stuff already’ Trump’s war and Melania’s Epstein statement, with US editor Betsy Reed – The Latest We have to stop killer motorists on Britain’s roads UK starts crackdown on EU citizens’ post-Brexit rights Londoners aren’t unfriendly – but don’t compare us to New Yorkers The religious right and the perversion of faith Artemis II images reignite moon mission memories Orbán and Magyar trade accusations in last days of Hungary election campaign Reckonwrong: How Long Has It Been? review | Safi Bugel's experimental album of the month Martin Rowson on Middle East peace talks – cartoon Masters magic, the Grand National and Premier League drama – follow with us Fears of UK and EU flight cancellations as airports warn of jet fuel shortages Reform’s petulance over slavery reparations shows it just doesn’t grasp Britain’s place in the modern world Peers vote to ban pornography depicting sex acts between stepfamily members Starbucks’s retail arm gets £13.7m tax credit even as sales increase Flyby review – interstellar musical is a voyage of epic strangeness Grand National preview: Jagwar can deny Irish cohort in Aintree classic Week in wildlife: an ostrich on the lam, a tortoise crossing a road and surfing seals Anger as swifts’ nesting holes in Derbyshire rail viaduct ‘blocked up’ Peter Mandelson faces fixed-penalty notice for urinating in public ‘There’s no shortage of terrifying technology’: how AI became TV drama’s new go-to villain ‘Fresher than anything in a shop’: the best recipe boxes and meal kits for time-poor foodies, tested Who was Hilma? 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Iran and the Revolution by Homa Katouzian review – how the Islamic Republic was born
John Simpson · 2026-05-04 · via The Guardian

As Wordsworth found in Paris after 1789, revolutions are deeply enthralling. There is nothing so bold, so self-sacrificing, so brave, so cruel as a revolutionary crowd. What’s more, revolutions have shaped the modern world. The European Union has been transformed by the overthrow of Marxism-Leninism in eastern Europe, while the near-revolution in Tiananmen Square in 1989 feeds the neuroses of the Chinese Communist party to this day.

Yet in some ways it was a revolution 10 years earlier that has been even more formative for our times: the overthrow of the shah in Iran. That, indeed, was a genuine revolutionary archetype on the 1789 model: barricades in the streets, crowds armed with old hunting rifles and kitchen knives facing up to the tanks (British-made, naturally); palaces, barracks and secret police headquarters stormed and sacked, the uniforms of the shah’s supposed “Immortals” lying on the ground, abandoned in utter panic. I even came across the ultimate revolutionary image: the body of an unfortunate cop hanging from a lamp-post. Squeamishness back at the BBC in London meant the shot wasn’t used.

The overthrow of the shah’s dynasty had deep roots: heavy-handed British and American imperialism going back decades, the vast wave of corruption created by the oil price rise after 1973, the shah’s own neurotic indecision, the brutality of the Savak (which, much as in the French and Russian revolutions, proved to be a moon-cast shadow of the incoming regime’s repression).

When the revolution happened, it electrified Muslims everywhere: they saw it was actually possible to stand up and overthrow the chosen instruments of western policy. But Iran was a Shia Muslim country, outside the mainstream of Sunni politics and thought, and the revolution had a particularly powerful effect on Shia communities, especially in Lebanon, where Shias in the south of the country had been an underclass since the Crusades. Suddenly they were conscious of a new strength, and Hezbollah was formed to resist Israel’s encroachments. Half a century on, Hezbollah is one of Israel’s major enemies; while Iran itself has taken on the combined might of the United States and Israel and proved a formidable opponent.

The history of the Iranian revolution has been written many times, but I haven’t found an account as clear and free of preconceptions as Homa Katouzian’s. Katouzian is a major historian, but he is also a polymath – an economist, a political scientist and a respected literary critic. Nowadays he is an honoured figure at St Antony’s College, Oxford, yet what I particularly enjoyed was the occasional moment when you feel you’re in the presence of the young man he once was, looking on, Wordsworth-like, as the history of which he would one day be a master was being made.

This business of being an onlooker is important. Far too many diplomats, British, American, French, German, were shut up in their embassies, listening to the reassuring intelligence pumped out by the shah’s agencies. The only British diplomat I knew who understood the seriousness of the shah’s situation was a young man who was allowed to live outside the embassy with his Iranian girlfriend. Foreign journalists, who spent their days talking to ordinary people, foresaw the coming collapse most clearly. As late as November 1978 several western embassies, including the British and American ones, were reporting back to their capitals that despite everything, the shah would outlast the revolution.

But then, as Katouzian makes clear, the political convulsion in Iran didn’t conform to western ideas. Iran, he writes, “was a society in which change – even important and fundamental change – tended to be a short-term phenomenon. And this was precisely due to the absence of an established and inviolable legal framework which would guarantee long-term continuity.” At present, of course, the west itself faces a rather similar process in Donald Trump’s United States, where law and policy must adapt themselves to whatever Trump says they should be at any given moment. But if there are occasional similarities between the shah and Trump, the shah’s all-pervasive insecurity has absolutely no echo in Trump’s armour-plated certainty that he is right, no matter how often and how radically he changes his mind. What links the two men is their ability to govern by whim alone. It brought the shah down; it may well clip President Trump’s wings after this November’s midterm elections.

All revolutions are accompanied by a degree of self-deception: without that, they would never succeed. Katouzian gives the best description I have seen of the odd alliance between the rebarbative ultra-conservative clergy and the leftwing Iranian intellectuals who managed to persuade themselves that Ayatollah Khomeini’s return to Tehran would open the door to democracy, liberty of expression and true socialism. “Why are you so bloody optimistic?” I asked a British-educated former member of the Majlis, or parliament, who had just got back to his flat, sweaty and exhilarated, from welcoming the Ayatollah in the tumultuous streets of Tehran. “Anything is better than the shah,” he answered, “and Khomeini will be easy to get round. He’s just a bigoted old ignoramus, after all.”

Having met and interviewed Khomeini outside Paris at Neauphle-le-Château a couple of weeks earlier, I wasn’t convinced, and I was right. My friend died in Evin prison a year or so later, in a way I prefer not to think about; Khomeini stayed in power until his death 10 years later, and handed on the system which has lasted, largely unchanged and certainly unmoderated, until today. As Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are discovering, merely chopping off the regime’s head is absolutely pointless. Its strength goes far deeper than that.

The shah left Iran for the last time on 16 January 1979, tears running down his face as he climbed into the aircraft which took him to exile and a painful death from cancer. On 1 February, Ayatollah Khomeini flew into the same airport and established the Islamic Republic. Ahead lay chaos, assassinations, terror and an appalling eight-year war (western-encouraged) with Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. No one thought the Islamic revolution would last anything like as long as it has. On my frequent visits to Iran I worked out a formula which I thought summed things up: “the revolution feels stable but not permanent”. Of course nothing is permanent, but Iran’s Islamic revolution has outlived plenty of others, from Gorbachev’s perestoika to Orbánism.

Katouzian is as clear-sighted about the hold the Iranian system has developed over the years as he is about the revolution itself, and his account of the young women who have refused to accept that system is admirable. Of course it will collapse at some point, though Israel and the United States between them may have injected a temporary new strength into it with their assaults. Most autocracies are brought down in the end by corruption, and this will be the fate of the ayatollahs and the revolutionary guards too. The process has taken so long because, unlike the shah, the regime has been willing to use the utmost violence to stay in power. In any case, Katouzian’s warm, rational, highly accessible study will continue to explain the phenomenon long after it has vanished.