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The Guardian

Rory McIlroy surges into six-shot Masters lead with stunning second-round flourish ‘That’ll be the end’: actor Sam Neill joins fight to stop controversial goldmine near his New Zealand vineyard Roberto De Zerbi targets ‘Ange-ball’ revival to save Spurs from relegation Bath hit back to reach semi-final after stunning Northampton in 11-try epic Secret Garden to Outcome: the week in rave reviews Zebras, wealth and power: Hungary’s election tests Orbán’s grip on power ‘TikTok effect’ brings sellout crowds and younger fans to Grand National meeting The war over Omagh’s gold: the £21bn mine plan tearing a community apart Britain’s shadow workforce is paid as little as 65p an hour. Who cares for the carers? From You, Me & Tuscany to Euphoria: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead Six great reads: the man who let snakes bite him, masked heavy metal and the brutal reality for foreign students in the UK American Classic review – I defy you not to fall in love with Kevin Kline and Laura Linney’s tender comedy Cuba’s doctors were a lifeline for the world. Now the Caribbean is shamefully complicit in the US drive to expel them An environmental disaster in Moldova has Russia’s fingerprints all over it RMIT drops misconduct case against student who accused university of being ‘complicit in Gaza genocide’ Ichiro Suzuki statue unveiling goes awry as bronze bat snaps during ceremony Survivors of Epstein’s abuse accuse Melania Trump of ‘shifting burden’ on to victims European football: Real Madrid held at home by Girona to extend winless run Arne Slot insists he is ‘aligned’ with Liverpool board and fans as squad is rebuilt Kamala Harris ‘thinking about’ running for president again in 2028 JD Vance warns Iran against trying to ‘play’ the US in peace talks West Ham double up twice to thrash Wolves and put Spurs in relegation zone Trump administration releases new renderings of so-called ‘Arc de Trump’ Crispin Odey drops £79m libel claim against FT over sexual misconduct allegations Bafta apologises for events surrounding John Davidson’s Tourette’s outburst Cocktail of the week: Bar Shrimp’s la rosita – recipe New drug may extend survival in aggressive ovarian cancer, trial shows One dead and 27 injured after bus with British passengers crashes in Canary Islands Pope adds to Smith’s mass of Surrey runs with England woes a world away OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s home targeted with molotov cocktail
Stock markets will fall, Bank of England deputy governor ...
Graeme Weard · 2026-04-24 · via The Guardian

Record-high global stock markets do not reflect the risks in the global economy, and will fall back, a deputy governor at the Bank of England has said.

Sarah Breeden, the deputy governor for financial stability at the Bank, fears that macroeconomic risks are not fully priced into equity markets. She cited concerns about private credit markets, highly valued artificial intelligence stocks, and other “risky valuations”.

Breeden told the BBC: “There’s a lot of risk out there and yet asset prices are at all-time highs. We expect there will be an adjustment at some point.”

The US stock market hit a record high earlier this week as investors shrugged off fears that the energy shock sparked by the Iran war is hurting the global economy and driving up inflation.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 index ended the day at a record closing high, lifted by a rally in technology stocks after the chipmaker Intel beat forecasts with its latest results on Thursday night.

Britain’s FTSE 100 share index is about 5% below the record high it reached in late February, just before the Iran war began.

Concerns about private credit, which involves potentially risky loans funded using investors’ money, have been growing in recent months.

The Bank warned at the end of March that valuations were particularly stretched for US technology companies focused on AI, and that investor sentiment relating to risky credit markets had deteriorated even before the conflict in the Middle East began.

Breeden told the BBC that the Bank was worried about a “private credit crunch, rather than a banking-driven credit crunch”.

“The thing that really keeps me awake at night is the likelihood of a number of risks crystallising at the same time – a major macroeconomic shock, confidence in private credit goes, AI and other risky valuations readjust – what happens in that environment and are we prepared for it?” she said.

“What we are watching for is: how might those prices fall? Will there be a sharp adjustment downwards? And if there is such an adjustment, how will that affect the economy? I’m not saying it will happen today, tomorrow, in 12 months’ time. It’s ensuring that if it happens the system is resilient,” Breeden added.

The FTSE 100 fell by over 0.5% on Friday, after Breeden’s interview was published, amid a wider market drop as traders worried that there was no sign of a breakthrough in the Iran war.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, suggested that Breeden’s warning of a potential global stock market correction might be weighing on the City.

“It’s unusual for a Bank of England official to explicitly warn about a potential stock market pullback, and the comment might have contributed to some of the FTSE 100’s decline on Friday.

“Breeden wasn’t simply referring to the Middle East events – she also referenced concerns around a private credit crunch, high equity valuations and AI,” Mould added.