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The Guardian

Rory McIlroy surges into six-shot Masters lead with stunning second-round flourish ‘That’ll be the end’: actor Sam Neill joins fight to stop controversial goldmine near his New Zealand vineyard Roberto De Zerbi targets ‘Ange-ball’ revival to save Spurs from relegation Bath hit back to reach semi-final after stunning Northampton in 11-try epic Secret Garden to Outcome: the week in rave reviews Zebras, wealth and power: Hungary’s election tests Orbán’s grip on power ‘TikTok effect’ brings sellout crowds and younger fans to Grand National meeting The war over Omagh’s gold: the £21bn mine plan tearing a community apart Britain’s shadow workforce is paid as little as 65p an hour. Who cares for the carers? From You, Me & Tuscany to Euphoria: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead Six great reads: the man who let snakes bite him, masked heavy metal and the brutal reality for foreign students in the UK American Classic review – I defy you not to fall in love with Kevin Kline and Laura Linney’s tender comedy Cuba’s doctors were a lifeline for the world. Now the Caribbean is shamefully complicit in the US drive to expel them An environmental disaster in Moldova has Russia’s fingerprints all over it RMIT drops misconduct case against student who accused university of being ‘complicit in Gaza genocide’ Ichiro Suzuki statue unveiling goes awry as bronze bat snaps during ceremony Survivors of Epstein’s abuse accuse Melania Trump of ‘shifting burden’ on to victims European football: Real Madrid held at home by Girona to extend winless run Arne Slot insists he is ‘aligned’ with Liverpool board and fans as squad is rebuilt Kamala Harris ‘thinking about’ running for president again in 2028 JD Vance warns Iran against trying to ‘play’ the US in peace talks West Ham double up twice to thrash Wolves and put Spurs in relegation zone Trump administration releases new renderings of so-called ‘Arc de Trump’ Crispin Odey drops £79m libel claim against FT over sexual misconduct allegations Bafta apologises for events surrounding John Davidson’s Tourette’s outburst Cocktail of the week: Bar Shrimp’s la rosita – recipe New drug may extend survival in aggressive ovarian cancer, trial shows One dead and 27 injured after bus with British passengers crashes in Canary Islands Pope adds to Smith’s mass of Surrey runs with England woes a world away OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s home targeted with molotov cocktail
Gas-fired power still looks a safe bet for Centrica in th...
Nils Pratley · 2026-05-08 · via The Guardian

The eye-catching non-Hormuz news in energy-land last month was that Great Britain is set for a record-breaking summer for wind and solar power generation. The national energy system operator even thought there could be periods – a sunny weekend or a bank holiday afternoon of low demand, for example – when more renewable power would be available than the electricity grid needed.

So, on the face of it, it is an odd moment for Centrica, the owner of British Gas, to fork out £370m to buy a 16-year-old combined-cycle gas turbine plant in south Wales. After all, the government’s clean power plan imagines that, come 2030, Great Britain’s entire fleet of gas plants will be used to generate only 5% of its electricity, down from 31.5% in 2025.

In reality, the purchase of the 850MW Severn plant near Newport makes strong sense. First, the pure financials stack up: Centrica said it expects top-line annual earnings of £30m-£60m from the facility from next year, implying an earnings yield of more than 10% in the middle of the range.

Second, it’s not as if gas-fired power stations earn nothing when they are standing idle. Most get paid just to be available to generate via “capacity market payments”. Severn’s fees from that source are expected to be £35m a year until 2030. It is unclear, under the government’s plans, how gas plants will be incentivised to stay on the system after 2030 but, since intermittent renewables will need to be supported by a power source that can be turned on at short notice, some form of financial carrot will have to materialise to ensure a core of gas plants survive until more nuclear capacity arrives.

Severn power plant
The Severn plant near Newport is relatively young in comparison with other plants. Photograph: AP S (uk)/Alamy

Third, there will probably be value in being among the survivors. Severn, built in 2010, may not sound modern but, relative to other plants in Great Britain’s fleet, it is. It may have another decade of life without refurbishment – and refurbishment, note, has become more expensive for older plants now that waiting times for new turbines run into years. And, if the predicted datacentre boom in south Wales materialises, the plant is in the right place.

So it is hard to quibble with Centrica chief executive Chris O’Shea’s explanation: “With the delivery of replacement capacity being impacted by grid access, rising costs and supply chain constraints, alongside the closure of ageing gas assets towards the end of the decade, the need for assets like Severn will increase.”

This is the part of the energy transition that gets less attention amid the rollout of solar, wind and battery storage. There is still a need for gas-powered generation to keep the lights on when, for example, it’s a still day in the dead of winter. Gas plants, according to the grand plan, may only produce 5% of Great Britain’s electricity over the course of a whole year but their periods of generation will be concentrated and unpredictable, which probably implies a price premium.

For Centrica, the purchase is another step towards becoming an infrastructure-style business with regulated, semi-regulated and contracted revenues. Last year’s purchase of a 15% stake in Sizewell C power station for £1.3bn – on juicy-looking terms – was in the same style; so, too, the acquisition of the Isle of Grain gas import terminal. On cue, a warning that operating profits from the retail businesses – mainly British Gas – will be “at the lower end of guidance” this year, which knocked the shares down 5%, reinforced the logic of the strategy. An unglamorous gas plant looks more predictable.