Preamble
Let’s begin with the tangible stakes ...
If Portugal win this game, they win Group K, and Colombia will be second, resulting in these matchups:
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Portugal: July 3 in Kansas City vs. the third-place team in Group L, if that team qualifies. Should the Group L team fall short, they’ll face the third-place team in Group I, which is Senegal.
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Colombia: July 2 in Toronto vs. the runner-up in Group L (England, Ghana or Croatia).
If these teams draw, Colombia will win Group K, and Portugal will be second, so reverse the previous options.
If Colombia win, they win Group K, and Portugal will be second unless DR Congo make up a six-goal gap in goal difference. If that happens, Portugal would be third and would face the Group L winner (England, Ghana or Croatia).
Now let’s talk about the intangible stakes ...
Cristiano Ronaldo has had a pretty good career. He’s good enough that kids in the schools where I work, upon finding that I follow this sport, ask me, “Messi or Ronaldo?” The case for Ronaldo has dwindled, but the mere fact that the question is asked is proof that his marketing team have successfully reached fifth-graders. (Or that he is, indeed, a halfway decent player.) He has won eight domestic championships (three in a row with Manchester United, two with Real Madrid, two with Juventus, one with Al-Nassr) and five UEFA Champions League trophies (one with Manchester United, the rest with Real Madrid).
With the national team, he has been the bridge from one Golden Generation to another. The first such generation lost to the Flying McBrides (USA) and lost composure against South Korea in 2002. Ronaldo emerged onto the team after that and help the team reach the Euro 2004 final and the 2006 World Cup semifinals. Portugal went on to more success in the Euros, winning in 2016, and the UEFA Nations League, winning in 2019 and 2025, but further World Cup success has been elusive.
So when Portugal opened this tournament with a draw against DR Congo, Portuguese nerves were certainly frayed. But Ronaldo scored twice in a rout over Uzbekistan, and all seems well ... for now?
But this Colombian side will not be an easy out. No team with James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz could be. And it’s worth noting that they beat Uzbekistan.

























