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The Decoder

OpenAI shifts the boundary of automated reasoning with a "milestone in AI mathematics" that experts are now unpacking US Cyber Command races to deploy AI on top-secret networks Cohere open-sources its strongest model yet Anthropic is about to become the first profitable AI lab OpenAI could file confidential IPO paperwork within days SAP taps Mistral AI to help customers migrate legacy software Deepseek wants to take on Claude Code and OpenAI's Codex with "Deepseek Code" LinkedIn's war on AI slop is not just a policy update—it is an admission that the platform lost control of its feed Google tests the app market version of the SaaSpocalypse Stability AI launches Stable Audio 3.0 with up to six-minute tracks and open weights Google pairs its Genie world model with Street View to create explorable AI worlds based on real places Google's Gemini 3.5 Flash follows Anthropic and OpenAI in making newer AI models significantly pricier Google overhauls its AI subscriptions at I/O 2026 with three tiers starting at $10 a month Sorry for the outages: Bot spam is pushing our servers to the limit Google's I/O announcements: new models, a cloud agent that never sleeps, and a redesigned Gemini app Prominent AI researcher Andrej Karpathy picks Anthropic over former home OpenAI to get back into frontier LLM research Agora-1 turns the N64 classic GoldenEye into a playable AI simulation for four players Mistral AI acquires Viennese physical AI startup Emmi AI Cloudflare says Anthropic's Mythos Preview finds exploit chains that earlier frontier models missed Anthropic adds self-hosted sandboxes and MCP tunnels to Claude Managed Agents Elon Musk appeals $134 billion OpenAI loss, calls verdict a "calendar technicality" Elon Musk loses his $134 billion lawsuit against OpenAI after jury deliberates for just two hours Cursor's Composer 2.5 matches Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5 benchmarks at a fraction of the cost Pope Leo XIV presents first AI encyclical, Anthropic co-founder invited as guest speaker A Stanford student reflects on his ChatGPT class and a culture of "just a little bit of fraud" MAGA-aligned groups want government oversight of frontier AI models Anthropic to brief global financial regulators on cyber flaws found by Claude Mythos AI startup revenue hits $80 billion, but Anthropic and OpenAI take almost all of it World Action Models give robots the ability to simulate consequences before they move Greg Brockman consolidates OpenAI's product teams to build an "agentic future" Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch warns France against letting Anthropic's Mythos scan military code bases New math benchmark reveals AI models confidently solve problems that have no solution Four AI models ran radio stations for six months and the results ranged from competent to unhinged Oppo open-sources Android AI agent X-OmniClaw that uses your camera, screen, and voice without leaving the phone New benchmark shows Claude Mythos and GPT-5.5 can develop real browser exploits autonomously YouTube opens its deepfake face-swap detection tool to all adult creators New benchmark confirms AI video generators look stunning but still can't reason about the world OpenAI bought a voice cloning startup famous for celebrity imitations For $1.3 million a month, OpenClaw founder Peter Steinberger runs 100 AI agents that code, review PRs, and find bugs AI made a tiny slice of Silicon Valley filthy rich and left the rest wondering why they bother Researchers train AI model that hits near-full performance with just 12.5 percent of its experts Google says GEO and AEO are a myth and traditional SEO is all you need for AI search Google busts the myth that AI search needs its own SEO playbook ChatGPT now wants access to your bank account so it can tell you to stop ordering takeout Anthropic's $900 billion valuation would make it more valuable than OpenAI for the first time x.AI plays catch-up with Grok Build, its first terminal-based coding agent Microsoft pulls Claude Code licenses and pushes developers back toward its own AI tool Arxiv cracks down on unchecked AI-generated content in research papers Anthropic frames AI competition with China as a now-or-never moment for Washington OpenAI makes its AI coding assistant Codex available on iOS and Android Americans would rather live next to a nuclear plant than an AI data center, Gallup poll finds Microsoft pits more than 100 AI agents against each other to find Windows vulnerabilities Ten Chinese firms including ByteDance reportedly get US clearance for AI chips they're not allowed to accept Alibaba's Qwen-Image-2.0 doubles compression and cuts generation steps from 40 to 4 ChatGPT's web traffic share dropped from 78% to 54% in one year as Gemini quietly tripled its reach New Claude Mythos becomes the first AI model to clear all cyberattack simulations from Britain's AI safety agency Microsoft's Edge Copilot can now read all your open tabs at once and write for you on LinkedIn Claude subscriptions get separate budgets for programmatic use, billed at full API prices Tencent plans to ramp up AI spending as China's chip supply allegedly improves Anthropic overtakes OpenAI in B2B adoption for the first time according to Ramp spending data Meta AI gets a private mode where no conversation data is stored on servers Anthropic launches Claude for Small Business to embed AI into the tools you forgot you pay for Luma opens Uni-1.1 image model API at prices and quality matching OpenAI and Google China's AI suppliers can't keep up as critical component shortages hit production AI startup Recursive emerges from stealth with $650 million to build self-improving AI Google is hiring hundreds of engineers to help customers adopt its AI From Prompt to Pointer Engineering: Deepmind tries to reinvent the mouse cursor for the AI era Android gets AI agents that book trips, fill forms, and clean up your texts Anthropic expands legal AI offerings with new Claude Cowork plugins Google says it stopped a mass cyberattack after AI was used to discover a zero-day exploit Alphabet's Isomorphic Labs raises $2.1 billion to scale AI drug discovery toward clinical trials Microsoft ousts its Israel chief following reports that Azure quietly powered military AI targeting in Gaza "Tokenmaxxing" spreads at Amazon as employees game internal AI leaderboards Thinking Machines Lab ships its first model and argues interactivity is what OpenAI gets wrong about voice Sam Altman's personal investments face political scrutiny ahead of OpenAI's planned IPO The EU wants to regulate AI but needs OpenAI and Anthropic to let regulators through the door Baidu's Ernie 5.1 cuts 94 percent of pre-training costs while competing with top models OpenAI's DeployCo subsidiary adopts Palantir's playbook, building a moat from workflows no lab can simulate Lawsuit claims ChatGPT coached FSU shooter on gun operation, timing, and victim thresholds AI turns patches into working exploits in 30 minutes, and the 90-day disclosure window is the casualty Generative AI turns identity theft into an industrial-scale operation Nvidia pumps over 40 billion dollars into AI partners so far in 2026 OpenAI's internal share sale minted roughly 75 multimillionaires who each cashed out the $30 million cap AI agents can now hack computers and copy themselves, and they're getting better fast AI agents that hack computers and replicate themselves, and they're getting better fast Anthropic and OpenAI sit down with religious leaders to seek ethical advice ByteDance plans over $30 billion for AI expansion, bets big on Chinese chips METR says it can barely measure Claude Mythos, Palo Alto Networks warns of autonomous AI attackers GPT-5.5 costs 49 to 92 percent more than its predecessor, depending on the input length Researchers may have found a way to stop AI models from intentionally playing dumb during safety evaluations Fields Medalist says ChatGPT 5.5 Pro delivered "PhD-level" math research in under two hours with zero human help Broadcom reportedly won't build OpenAI's custom chip unless Microsoft buys 40 percent of them Google's "Preferred Sources" feature is a free pass for more garbage in search Pseudoscientific emotion AI is invading the workplace, an Atlantic report shows AI money keeps flowing as Deepseek plans record raise and Core Automation quadruples valuation in weeks SoftBank reportedly slashes OpenAI-backed loan from $10 billion to $6 billion as lenders balk at private AI valuations Anthropic approaches $1 trillion valuation as revenue grows fivefold AI safety tests have a new problem: Models are now faking their own reasoning traces OpenAI opens GPT-5.5-Cyber to vetted security researchers Mozilla's agentic AI pipeline turns Claude Mythos Preview loose and finds 271 unknown Firefox vulnerabilities
SpaceX IPO filing shows billions in AI losses, a $2 trillion valuation target, and turbine spending that signals more data center conflicts ahead
Maximilian S · 2026-05-21 · via The Decoder

SpaceX has filed its IPO paperwork with the SEC, revealing detailed financials. The xAI division is burning through billions, Anthropic pays $15 billion a year for compute, and Elon Musk locks in near-absolute control.

SpaceX has publicly filed paperwork for what could be the largest IPO ever with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The company plans to debut on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX, aiming to raise up to $75 billion at a target valuation of up to $2 trillion.

The filing reveals a company that's growing fast and burning cash just as fast. In Q1 2026, SpaceX posted a net loss of $4.28 billion on $4.69 billion in revenue. Full-year 2025 revenue climbed to $18.7 billion, but the company swung from a $791 million profit in 2024 to a net loss of $4.94 billion.

The AI division is eating most of the budget

The biggest cost driver by far is the AI division, folded into SpaceX after the xAI acquisition. More than half of capital spending, which nearly doubled to $20.74 billion in 2025, went to the AI business. Losses in the AI division ballooned from $1.56 billion in 2024 to $6.36 billion in 2025, according to the filing.

On top of that, SpaceX plans to acquire AI coding startup Cursor for $60 billion, with the deal set to close within 30 days of the IPO. If it falls through, Cursor gets a $1.5 billion cash breakup fee plus $8.5 billion as a "deferred services fee."

Anthropic is paying $1.25 billion a month for compute

The IPO filing also shows that Anthropic pays SpaceX $1.25 billion per month as part of a compute deal around roughly $15 billion a year through May 2029, according to Axios. Payments for May and June are slightly lower as the deal ramps up.

Anthropic is also expanding from SpaceX's Colossus 1 facility to Colossus 2, Anthropic co-founder and Chief Compute Officer Tom Brown disclosed on X. Either side can cancel the contract with 90 days' notice. SpaceX said in the filing it plans to sign more deals like this.

Starlink drives revenue while spaceflight stays in the red

About two-thirds of Q1 2026 revenue came from Starlink satellite internet. Subscriber counts have surged from 2.3 million in 2023 to 4.4 million in 2024 to 8.9 million in 2025, according to the filing. Starlink's operating income hit $4.42 billion in 2025, up from $2 billion the year before.

The actual spaceflight segment, though, is still losing money. It generated $619 million in revenue in Q1 2026 against an operating loss of $662 million. Starship, which SpaceX describes as critical to all its future plans, still isn't fully operational. SpaceX has already poured more than $15 billion into the program.

Space data centers and a $28.5 trillion market claim

SpaceX also lays out a vision in the filing to put 100 gigawatts of AI compute capacity per year on solar-powered satellites in orbit. That would equal about one-fifth of total US electricity production in 2025, the company says. SpaceX pegs the total addressable market at $28.5 trillion.

Whether investors will buy into a $2 trillion valuation remains an open question. Analysts and observers had already called valuations above $1.25 trillion hard to justify, according to Bloomberg, given that revenue mostly comes from Starlink and xAI is hemorrhaging cash.

Musk locks in near-absolute control with dual-class shares

Elon Musk is locking in near-absolute control over SpaceX through the planned share structure. The company will issue two types of stock: ordinary Class A shares with one vote each and Class B shares carrying ten votes each. Musk holds most of the high-vote Class B shares, giving him 85.1 percent of voting power despite owning far fewer shares overall. After the IPO, he effectively can't be outvoted or removed. SpaceX is also dangling up to one billion additional shares as a bonus if he hits certain milestones, including a Mars colony with at least one million residents.

Dual-class structures with unequal voting rights are common at companies like Alphabet, Meta, Snap, and Ford, though the specifics vary. In Musk's case, it's drawing fire. Large pension funds from New York and California have already criticized the setup, according to Bloomberg, since regular investors get virtually no say.

Up to 30 percent of shares will go to retail investors through platforms like Robinhood, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab, directly to individual buyers rather than just big institutional players. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, and JPMorgan are leading the offering. Formal marketing for the stock is set to begin June 4, according to Bloomberg, with the final offering price potentially locked in starting June 11.

Still unclear is how quickly SpaceX will be added to major US stock indexes, Bloomberg reports. When a stock joins a big index like the S&P 500, funds that track it are forced to buy, creating significant buying pressure and potential price jumps. Roughly $24 trillion is tied to the S&P 500 alone, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. But there's currently a minimum 12-month waiting period after an IPO. Requirements around free float and profitability could also be hurdles for SpaceX.

S&P Dow Jones Indices is reviewing rule changes that could fast-track mega-IPOs like SpaceX for index inclusion.

xAI is buying $2.8 billion in gas turbines despite an ongoing lawsuit

The filing also reveals that SpaceX's xAI division plans to buy $2.8 billion worth of gas turbines for its AI infrastructure over the next three years, including $2 billion for mobile gas turbines. The NAACP recently sued xAI over the operation of nearly 30 unpermitted gas turbines at its data center near Memphis. The EPA already found that xAI was running the turbines in violation of federal law.

SpaceX acknowledges the risk in the filing, writing injunctions or revoked permits could adversely affect AI business.

Data centers are measurably heating up nearby neighborhoods

A new study from Arizona State University adds weight to those concerns. The researchers show that beyond the already known problems of power and water consumption, plus air and water pollution, AI data centers are warming up their surroundings. In the Phoenix metro area air temperatures downwind of data centers averaged 0.7 to 0.9 degrees Celsius higher than upwind readings, with peaks of up to 2.2 degrees Celsius. The effect was measurable up to about 540 meters away. According to lead researcher David Sailor, the waste heat from a single data center can exceed that of 40,000 households.

The researchers warn of serious consequences for affected neighborhoods. Higher outdoor temperatures increase cooling demand in nearby homes, which can drive up residents' electricity bills. That creates a vicious cycle: air conditioners run longer or harder because of the extra heat. They pump indoor heat outside and release the electrical energy they consume as additional waste heat, warming the area even further and pushing cooling demand higher still.

The added heat also worsens health risks, especially in already heat-stricken regions like Phoenix, where extreme heat is already among the deadliest weather events. Sailor also points out that the effects of individual data centers can compound in clusters—a problem that's only going to grow. US data center capacity is expected to more than double by 2030.