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Mastercard Dynamic Yield

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Beyond Past Behavior: Predict Future Needs with AI-Powere...
Sam Macleod · 2024-01-08 · via Mastercard Dynamic Yield

It’s never been more important for marketers to deliver experiences that resonate with each customer on an individual level. Affinity profiling, a mainstay in the modern personalization toolkit, is a powerful way to achieve 1:1 relevance, but as customer expectations rise, so too does the need for an even more powerful solution.

The industry standard for calculating customer affinity today, in essence, relies on the assumption that what a customer has demonstrated liking in the past, they will continue to like in the future. But what if the affinity profile could do more, to truly predict a customer’s future preferences and interests? What if it could adjust for one-time purchases, identify complementary products a customer might be interested in, and even account for the cadences of repeat purchases? All of this and more is now possible with AffinityML, a neural network algorithm that predicts affinity with unrivaled accuracy and takes understanding your customers to a whole new level.

Affinity profiling today

Affinity profiles represent personal connections forged between people and a particular topic, brand, product, service or attribute. These could be affinities to specific brands or types of content, or even more granular, from sizes and colors to dietary preferences, loan types and more. 

These profiles capture an intricate view of user preferences and interests according to their online behavior. But how is affinity calculated?

Traditional affinity profile models add a score to a user based on the metadata connected to a product they’ve interacted with. This score is calculated by capturing every engagement a user has with a given digital property and then collecting all of the product attribute values associated with the interaction. Every interaction a customer has with a product will update the score of each attribute value according to the type of interaction as well as when it occurred. For the data to become meaningful, a correlation between the user interaction and the attribute value is then determined. Traditionally, this is done by assigning a weight to each engagement based on its assumed level of intent and then summing up the total number of engagements per each value. The higher the level of intent, the greater the weight given to the interaction. These scores can be used to create an affinity profile, allowing marketers to rank product attributes like color, brand, category, and so forth based on the customer’s activity. 

A cornerstone of our personalization philosophy, affinity profiles play an important role in developing audiences, establishing targeting conditions, and serving relevant product and content recommendations. Through this adoption of affinity profiling, we’ve witnessed remarkable results from our affinity-based personalization, opening up an entirely new world of potential for brands to capitalize on what they know about their customers and inspiring us to dive deeper into the intricacies of user behavior.

Next-engagement prediction with affinity, powered by deep learning

Dynamic Yield’s AffinityML, part of the AdaptML system, enables marketers to understand their customers better than ever before with a neural network algorithm that identifies future-purchase intent. Traditional models make assumptions about user interests based on past interactions. AffinityML, on the other hand, is a self-learning algorithm that can predict changing customer preferences, even before the customers themselves know it. This predictive capability enables marketers to anticipate and respond to evolving intent, ensuring that personalized affinity-based recommendations are served to all customers. 

Here’s a breakdown of how AffinityML empowers you to harness the power of AI to understand your customers more deeply:

1. Automate decisions with a self-learning algorithm: This neural network algorithm is trained on both the behavior of each individual user and the site activity of all users, enabling it to understand user behavior on both micro and macro levels to deliver precise, predictive, and relevant content.

2. Automatically predict multi-purchase cadences: Trained by observing the historical patterns of all users across the site, AffinityML automatically understands the intervals between purchases and adjusts user affinity in these categories according to that cadence.

3. Identify one-time purchases and complementary products: AffinityML recognizes product attributes that indicate a one-time purchase by observing behavioral patterns of users across the entire site, automatically adjusting the affinity profile accordingly while factoring in new complementary products.

Optimizing affinity profiling with deep learning 

Affinity Recommendations Adjust After Add-To-Cart

AffinityML identifies and recommends complementary items to the product a customer has added to their cart, dynamically adjusting their profile and affinity recommendations in real-time.

Pinpoint Abnormal Behaviors

AffinityML can also be used to identify atypical behavior exhibited by customers and predict one-time category purchases, automatically increasing or decreasing user affinity for these categories according to the historical purchasing activity of all users.

After a customer makes a one-time refrigerator purchase, affinity to refrigerators decreases to near-zero while affinity for water filters, a complimentary product, increases. When the customer purchases the water filter, their affinity for new filters decreases, steadily growing over time in-accordance with the buying cadence for replacements.

Affinity profiling with predictive precision

The evolution of affinity profiling, particularly with the advent of Dynamic Yield’s AffinityML, is undeniably shaping the future of personalization. A testament to our unwavering commitment to delivering the most intuitive and impactful digital experiences, AffinityML not only predicts customer intent; it anticipates and responds before it even becomes apparent. By embracing AffinityML, marketers can forge deeper connections with their customers, delivering experiences that feel tailor-made for each individual across every digital interaction.