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Futurism

Suddenly, as His Empire Crumbles, Elon Musk Admits He Made a Huge Mistake With DOGE Tesla Stock in Freefall After Disastrous Earnings Report SpaceX Stock Hits All-Time Low Elon Musk Says Grok Will Generate Its Own Feature-Length Version of "The Odyssey" for People Allergic to Progressive Ideas Short Sellers Are Going Hog Wild Against SpaceX as Its Stock Craters SpaceX Eager to Support the Pentagon's Lethal AI Models SpaceX Plunges to All-Time Low After Competitor Makes Major Leap Elon Musk Says His Goal Is for SpaceX to Be Worth More than the Entire Earth "You Are a Parasite": Elon Musk Humiliated for Criticizing Zohran Mamdani Elon Musk Is Charging Starlink Customers Gigantic Bogus Fees Because Its Network Is Being Crushed by "High Demand" SpaceX Investors Are Having Another Brutal Day Elon Musk Is Crashing Out Badly Elon Musk Confronted With List of People He's Killed, Including Children Elon Musk Says SpaceX Is "Like Union Pacific," Which Is Extremely Funny If You Know What Actually Happened to Union Pacific Musk Furious After SpaceX Stock Gets Worst Possible Report Card Elon Musk's Conflicts of Interest With the Trump Administration Regulating SpaceX Are So Profound That They Have Grim Implications for Society Tesla Allegedly Showed Cooked Data to Get Full Self-Driving Approved Elon Musk Fantasizes About Killing Journalists Tesla’s Robotaxis Are a Complete Disaster SpaceX’s IPO Shows That We Aren’t Even Close to Peak AI Bubble The More Data We See About SpaceX’s IPO, the More We’re Wincing It’s Possible That SpaceX Could Collapse Spectacularly SpaceX Is Massively Overvalued Ahead of Its IPO, Analysts Find Elon Musk Says He Only Got Involved in Politics Because He Couldn’t Deal With Having a Transgender Child Trump Shovels $4 Billion Directly to Elon Musk, Who Spent a Fortune Getting Him Elected Tesla Insiders Admit Self-Driving Is a Complete Disaster Man Drives Cybertruck Into Lake to Test Elon Musk’s “Boat” Claims, and It Went About as Well as You’d Guess SpaceX Stock May Actually Be a Horrendous Investment Elon Musk’s Ex Says He Bragged About 10,000 Lasers in Orbit That Are “Not a Piece They’ll See on the Chess Board” Elon Musk Compares His Work to Miracles Performed by Jesus Christ If Starship Explodes Again, It Could Derail SpaceX’s Entire IPO Elon Musk Absolutely Obsessed With Tweets From Random Guy In India Who Constantly Glazes Him, Analysis Shows Elon Musk Flees OpenAI Trial as Tide Turns Against Him Sam Altman Accuses Elon Musk of Laughing at Memes During Important OpenAI Meetings Elon Musk’s Attempts at AI Are Falling Apart Grok Just Issued a Brutal Beatdown to Elon Musk Sure, Elon Musk Did Roleplay As His Toddler Son on a Secret Burner Account, But He Probably Isn’t Pretending to Be His Mom Elon Musk Just Got Badly Humiliated in Court If OpenAI Loses This Trial, It Could Effectively Be Eliminated in Its Current Form Tesla Quietly Buys Mysterious $2 Billion Entity Elon Musk Fans Increasingly Disgusted by His Toxic Outbursts Elon Musk Admits He Lied to Tesla Customers’ Faces for Years About Self-Driving SpaceX’s IPO Plan Will Give Elon Musk Ironclad Rule Over the Resulting Empire Tesla Drivers Losing Patience at Elon Musk’s Eternal Excuses Pentagon Disturbed as Its Fleet of Drones Is Left Bobbing in the Ocean When Elon Musk’s Starlink Fails NAACP Sues Elon Over His Noxious AI Data Center Elon Musk Says He Could Definitely Build a Public Transit System Better Than Anything In China If He Tried JP Morgan Concerned Tesla Stock Will Crash by 60 Percent in Face of Ongoing Business Failures Elon Musk Secretly Shared His Number One Priority at Tesla and It Really Says It All Man Caught Sleeping Behind the Wheel While FSD Tesla Cruises the Streets After Decadent Feast of Wine and Pizza Trump Fans Furious That NASA Is Allowing a Canadian on the Moon Mission
The Math on SpaceX’s IPO Is Virtually Impossible
Victor Tangermann · 2026-06-08 · via Futurism

A photo illustration featuring a photograph of Elon Musk.

Illustration by Tag Hartman-Simkins / Futurism. Source: Fabrice Coffrini / AFP via Getty Images

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Elon Musk’s SpaceX is slated to go public this week at a market cap of $1.75 trillion, which would make it one of the world’s most valuable publicly traded companies in the world overnight.

But justifying that astronomical figure appears virtually impossible: in fact, as Fortune reports, it would require the company to grow and profit more spectacularly than any other venture in the history of capitalism.

For one, as detailed in its S1-filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, SpaceX lost a staggering $4.9 billion last year, while only raking in $18.7 billion. According to Wall Street veteran and corporate financial expert David Trainer, SpaceX would need to hit a revenue target of $1.1 trillion — almost 60 times what it made in 2025 — to become a worthy buy with an actual return for investors.

That would be higher than the highest annual revenues posted by any company ever, a record that was set by Amazon, which raked in $742 billion across the last four quarters.

According to Fortune‘s estimates, SpaceX would have to increase sales by a whopping 50 percent every year for a decade, something no company has even come close to achieving. By 2035, the company would be the same size as an entire industry made up of dozens of Fortune 500 members, according to the publication, over 50 percent bigger than the utilities sector or entertainment industry.

In short, SpaceX would need to do a whole lot more than just enormously accelerate the growth of its number one revenue maker, Starlink. Worse yet, Musk’s AI startup xAI and struggling social media network X were both recently folded into the rocket company, weighing it down even further by saddling it with billions in additional debt, nevermind ongoing expenditures and drama.

Nobody knows how its NASDAQ debut will play out later this week. It’s still entirely possible investors may balk at Musk’s moonshot proposition, resulting in the company collapsing under its own weight, with many choosing to bet on its eventual demise instead by shorting the stock.

But if Musk’s existing relationship with retail investors is anything to go by, there could be plenty of goodwill left to prop up his enormous bet on orbital AI data centers — at least for now.

Besides, amidst the ongoing AI hype cycle and growing oil crisis, the stock market has long abandoned any pretense of being tied to business fundamentals, turning into a haven for those willing to speculate on a distant and far-fetched future.

In other words, retail investors may not believe in SpaceX’s ability to astronomically grow its revenues each year — but they’re willing to cash in on the hype itself, thinking they can get out before the bill comes due.

More on the IPO: SpaceX Is Massively Overvalued Ahead of Its IPO, Analysts Find