Thinking about the 250th year of the United States... why does it blow me away? It's the closest thi... - 惯性聚合

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Ray Dalio(@RayDalio)

Ray Dalio (@RayDalio) on X I often observe people making decisions if their odds of being right are greater than 50 percent. Wh... I’m really excited about what’s going on with Digital Ray, which is my digital twin. I'm creating th... Make sure it's clear how much weight each person's vote has so that if a decision must be made when ... https://t.co/ohiivtGGeE Think of every decision as a bet with a probability and a reward for being right and a probability a... Every day you are faced with an infinite number of things that come at you. Let’s call them “dots.” ... I love everything about the 4th of July, and the 250th anniversary is especially great for me becaus... Be wary of relying on anything else. Unfortunately, numerous tests by psychologists show that the ma... When you look back over the last 250 years, the United States has been an amazing place that has giv... By checks, I mean people who check on other people to make sure they're performing well, and by bala... For instance, if you want to have a healthy life, you shouldn’t have twelve sausage links and a beer... It seems to me that most people are hooked on news items that last about a day or two and are then f... Turnover is costly and inefficient because of the time it takes for people to get to know each other... The World Cup games are really something else. Beyond the competition and the games themselves—which... Reality exists at different levels and each of them gives you different but valuable perspectives. I... Perfectionists spend too much time on little differences at the margins at the expense of the import... Show your job prospects the real picture, especially the bad stuff. Also show them the principles in... The 80/20 Rule states that you get 80 percent of the value out of something from 20 percent of the i... Both your people and your design must evolve for your machine to improve. When you get personal evol... Looking ahead to the next 24 months, my main focus is passing along whatever I have that could be of... When determining an acceptable rate of improvement for something, it is its level in relation to the... I recently spent a month in Asia, including 10 days in China, where I met with senior policy makers ... If you put your goals in the hands of RPs who can execute those goals well, and if you make it clear... https://t.co/ZNaQtDhoH6 Nobody ever said radical honesty was easy. Sometimes, especially with new employees who have not yet... I believe we are currently on the brink. We are entering a particularly risky period expected betwee... A dot is just one piece of data from one moment in time; keep that in perspective as you synthesize.... Someone who doesn't have much can be more generous giving a little than a rich person giving a lot. ... There are a number of major forces operating right now, but let's look at the AI force. AI is going ... Imagine that you’re playing a game like bridge, poker, backgammon, or chess and have to make your mo... https://t.co/sFqU1M6CzH Understand the concept of "by-and-large" and use approximations. Because our educational system is h... Look at what people in comparable jobs with comparable experience and credentials make, add some sma... For example, when choosing which movie to watch or what book to read, are you drawn to proven classi... Pay people enough so that they're not under financial stress, but not so much that they become fat a... In all aspects of life, what's happening today seems like a much bigger deal than it will appear in ... Make sure you're following the suggestions made earlier, like building meaningful relationships and ... https://t.co/ODMK4knsBH Opinions are a dime a dozen and nearly everyone will share theirs with you. Many will state them as ... The credit system functions like a circulatory system that delivers nutrients and buying power to va... No one is exempt from this process. Having it go well depends on people's abilities to make frank as... Make sure they're fully informed and believable. Find out who is responsible for whatever you are se... You need people who share your tastes and style but who can also push and challenge each other. The ... Every day you are faced with an infinite number of things that come at you. Let’s call them “dots.” ... Smart people are the ones who ask the most thoughtful questions, as opposed to thinking they have al... Own your life and take responsibility to make it great. When life doesn't give you what you want, do... https://t.co/WTy8hynCmb Learning must come before deciding. As explained in Chapter One, your brain stores different types o... Trainees must be open-minded; the process requires them to suspend their egos while they discover wh... The foundations of a successful country are simpler than most people think–productive citizens, a ci...

Thinking about the 250th year of the United States... why does it blow me away? It's the closest thi...

Ray Dalio (@ · 2026-07-05 · via Ray Dalio(@RayDalio)

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