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Proceedings of Machine Learning Research

Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
PMLR · 2026-06-02 · via Proceedings of Machine Learning Research

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Volume 266: Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications (COPA 2025), 10-12 September 2025, Royal Holloway, London, UK

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Editors: Khuong An Nguyen, Zhiyuan Luo, Harris Papadopoulos, Tuwe Löfström, Lars Carlsson, Henrik Boström

[bib][citeproc]

Preface

Preface

; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:1-5

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Foundations and Generalisations of Conformal Prediction

Inductive randomness predictors: beyond conformal

Vladimir Vovk; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:6-33

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When Can We Reuse a Calibration Set for Multiple Conformal Predictions?

Alexander Balinsky, Alexander David Balinsky; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:34-42

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Venn-Abers Testing of Exchangeability

Ilia Nouretdinov; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:43-62

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Calibrating Without Labels: Source-Free Conformal Prediction Using Pseudo-Labels

Shachar Angelman, Rotem Nizhar, Jacob Goldberger; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:63-81

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Privacy, Robustness and Security

Conformal Prediction of Classifiers with Many Classes based on Noisy Labels

Coby Penso, Jacob Goldberger, Ethan Fetaya; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:82-95

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Privacy-Preserving Conformal Prediction Under Local Differential Privacy

Coby Penso, Bar Mahpud, Jacob Goldberger, Or Sheffet; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:96-112

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Provably Efficient and Robust Conformal Prediction under a Realistic Threat Model

Alberto Carlevaro, Luca Oneto, Davide Anguita, Fabio Roli; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:113-132

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High Probability Risk Control Under Covariate Shift

Duarte C. Almeida, João Bravo, Jacopo Bono, Pedro Bizarro, Mário A. T. Figueiredo; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:133-152

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Multi-Output and Multi-Label Prediction

Exact and Approximate Conformal Inference for Multi-Output Regression

Chancellor Johnstone, Eugene Ndiaye; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:153-172

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Conformal multi-hop relation detection and classification in knowledge graphs

Frederick Law; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:173-192

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Dynamic Conformal Prediction for Multi-Target Regression: Optimising Informational Efficiency under Joint Validity

Filip Schlembach, Evgueni Smirnov, Mark H. M. Winands; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:193-213

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Conformal LLM Multi-label Text Classification with Binary Relevance Approach

Viktor Örnbratt, Johan Hallberg Szabadváry; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:214-229

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Incorporating Structural Penalties in Multi-label Conformal Prediction

Kostas Katsios, Harris Papadopoulos; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:230-249

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Conformal Regression and Predictive Distributions

SEMF: Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework for Predicting Intervals

Ilia Azizi, Marc-Olivier Boldi, Valérie Chavez-Demoulin; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:250-281

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A Review and Comparative Analysis of Univariate Conformal Regression Methods

Jie Bao, Nicolo Colombo, Valery Manokhin, Suqun Cao, Rui Luo; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:282-304

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Stacked conformal prediction

Paulo Marques; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:305-316

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Hierarchical Copula-based Conformal Prediction and Exact Validity via Nested Prediction Regions

Bruce Cyusa Mukama, Soundouss Messoudi, Sylvain Rousseau, Sébastien Destercke; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:317-335

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DUEn: An Ensemble Framework Enhanced by Distribution-Free Uncertainty for Regression

Songlin Du, Ling Luo, Ilia Nouretdinov, Uwe Aickelin; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:336-358

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Explainability and Decision Making

Explaining Set-Valued Predictions: SHAP Analysis for Conformal Classification

Ulf Johansson, Cecilia Sönströd, Aicha Maalej; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:359-378

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Conformal Predictive Decision Making: A Comparative Study with Bayesian and Point-Predictive Methods

Simon Lanngren, Martin Toremark, Johan Hallberg Szabadváry; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:379-404

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Counterfactual Explanations for Conformal Prediction Sets

Aicha Maalej, Cecilia Sönströd, Ulf Johansson; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:405-424

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Individualised Counterfactual Examples Using Conformal Prediction Intervals

James Adams, Gesine Reinert, Lukasz Szpruch, Carsten Maple, Andrew Elliott; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:425-444

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Applications

Conformal Risk Control for Pulmonary Nodule Detection

Roel Hulsman, Valentin Comte, Lorenzo Bertolini, Tobias Wiesenthal, Antonio Puertas Gallardo, Mario Ceresa; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:445-463

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Conformal Survival Bands for Risk Screening under Right-Censoring

Matteo Sesia, Vladimir Svetnik; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:464-514

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Robust Vision-Based Runway Detection through Conformal Prediction and Conformal mAP

Alya Zouzou, Léo Andéol, Mélanie Ducoffe, Ryma Boumazouza; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:515-534

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Temporal Multimodal Probabilistic Transformers for Safety Monitoring in Autonomous Driving Systems

Yehia Ahmed, Felippe Roza, Núria Mata; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:535-554

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Conformal Prediction for Uncertainty Estimation in Drug-Target Interaction Prediction

Morteza Rakhshaninejad, Mira Jürgens, Nicolas Dewolf, Willem Waegeman; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:555-575

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Online Testing, Change and Anomaly Detection

Validity and efficiency of the conformal CUSUM procedure

Vladimir Vovk, Ilia Nouretdinov, Alexander Gammerman; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:576-594

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online-cp: a Python Package for Online Conformal Prediction, Conformal Predictive Systems and Conformal Test Martingales

Johan Hallberg Szabadváry, Tuwe Löfström, Rudy Matela; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:595-614

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Testing Exchangeability for Multiple Sequences of P-values

Henrik Boström; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:615-632

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Testing by Betting for Anomaly Detection in Rental E-Scooter GNSS Traces

Marco Capuccini, Rahul Rajendra Pai, Lars Carlsson; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:633-644

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Anytime-Valid Tests of Group Invariance through Conformal Prediction

Tyron Lardy, Muriel F. Pérez-Ortiz; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:645-665

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Conformal Anomaly Detection for Functional Data with Elastic Distance Metrics

Jason Adams, Brandon Berman, Joshua Michalenko, J. Derek Tucker; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:666-686

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On the Integration of Cross-Conformal Prediction, Ensembles, and Sampling for Uncertainty Quantification in One-Class Anomaly Detection

Ishan Garg, Shayan Majumder; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:687-705

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A Conformal Martingales Approach for Recurrent Concept Drift

Charalambos Eliades, Harris Papadopoulos; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:706-724

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Testing Marginal and Conditional Coverage in Conformal Prediction for Non-Stationary Time Series via Value-at-Risk Backtesting

Konrad Retzlaff, Filip Schlembach, Dennis Bams, Philippe Dreesen; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:725-747

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Extended Abstracts

A Bayesian framework for calibrating Gaussian process predictive distributions

Aurélien Pion, Emmanuel Vazquez; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:748-750

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Conformal Predictive Simulations for Univariate Time Series

Thierry Moudiki; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:751-752

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Reliable Household Demographic Classification

Javier Carreno, Khuong An Nguyen, Zhiyuan Luo, Andrew Fish; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:753-755

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Conformal Prediction for Reliable Image Super-Resolution

Tapabrata Chakraborti, Samiran Dey; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:756-757

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Detect Adversarial Examples with Exchangeability Martingale

Genghua Dong, Roman Bresson, Henrik Boström; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:758-761

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Exponential Estimates for Contagion in Financial Networks

Dimitrios Ioannides, Stavros Ioannidis; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:762-764

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Conformal Classification with New Labels

Tianmin Xie, Ziyi Liang, Stefano Favaro, Matteo Sesia; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:765-767

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Class-Conditional Robust Conformal Prediction for Structured Perturbations

Luis Marchante Arjona, Protim Bhattacharjee, Peter Jung; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:768-770

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Sequential Conformal Risk Control for Safe Railway Signaling Detection

Léo Andéol, Thomas Masséna; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:771-774

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FlowGuard: Guarding Flow Matching via Conformal Sampling

Ziyun Li, Henrik Boström; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:775-777

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Physics-Aware Conformal Prediction for Deep Learning-based Wheelchair Local Navigation

Sara Narteni, Alberto Carlevaro, Zeming Duan, Serge Autexier, Maurizio Mongelli; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:778-780

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Conformal Prediction for Reliable Stock Selections

Ipek Kaya, Khuong An Nguyen; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:781-783

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Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Conformal Prediction

Yusuf Sale, Alireza Javanmardi, Eyke Hüllermeier; Proceedings of the Fourteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 266:784-786

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