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Exponential View

📈 Data to start your week 🔮 Fifty years of Moore’s Law wasn’t fast enough for AI #580 🔮 The state of the AI economy 🔮 Product eats the AI company; the bitter lesson prevails; Fable 5 as CEO, undersea diplomacy & jellyfish sleep++ #579 🔮 Is AI immune to groupthink? 📈 Data to start your week 🔮 Exponential View #578: Fable & time to pause AI; iPhone vs babies; gene therapy, bad CEOs & Chinese Gen Z++ ‼️ A blueprint for managed decline 🔮 The AI boom is becoming an entrepreneurship boom #577 💸 You’re paying for tokens. Now what? 🔥 We checked. Again. Still no bubble. 🔮 Does AI make you dumb? And why our forecasts suck #576 Live with Azeem: AI & ROI 🔮 Why AI isn’t showing up on your bottom line 📈 Why AI bills rise as costs fall 🔮 Exponential View #575: AI’s math breakthrough and its creative limits 👀 The AI backlash is the only thing growing faster than AI revenues 📈 Data to start your week: The cost of tokenmaxxing 🔮 Exponential View #574: Inside Anthropic’s rocket ship, commoditizing love & context-maxxing++
📈 Cerebras and the IPO pop
Azeem Azhar · 2026-05-15 · via Exponential View

Cerebras Systems, which makes massive, beautiful chips for AI workloads, hit the Nasdaq yesterday. At one point, the stock was up 157%, before settling for a more muted 107% return.

On the first day, IPO pops bring out the bears and cynics for good reason. The dotcom heyday was full of them. Calico Commerce, VA Linux, TheGlobe.com: each up 300%, 605% and 697.5% on day one, respectively. Remarkable performances, long-term disasters. VA Linux, the “best” of them, lost about 98% of its value. TheGlobe.com and Calico were effectively wiped out.

What did they have in common? Low revenues, fast growth rates and a booming, booming, booming market.

So when Cerebras opened 75% above the expected IPO price, it was tempting to file it away as another overhyped stock riding the frenzy around a new technology, itself bundled in layers of hype.

What I saw instead was a sign that the market is finally starting to grasp the demand for AI inference.

I’ve been following Cerebras since 2018, when I first spoke with Andrew Feldman, the founder. Last year, Chantal Smith and I visited their headquarters in Sunnyvale.

My photo of the Cerebras Wafer Scale Engine