惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
cs.CV updates on arXiv.org
cs.CV updates on arXiv.org
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
P
Palo Alto Networks Blog
D
Docker
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
S
Schneier on Security
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
I
InfoQ
L
LangChain Blog
Cyberwarzone
Cyberwarzone
T
Tenable Blog
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
P
Privacy & Cybersecurity Law Blog
罗磊的独立博客
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
Threat Intelligence Blog | Flashpoint
Threat Intelligence Blog | Flashpoint
Jina AI
Jina AI
C
CERT Recently Published Vulnerability Notes
Scott Helme
Scott Helme
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
Know Your Adversary
Know Your Adversary
D
Darknet – Hacking Tools, Hacker News & Cyber Security
The Last Watchdog
The Last Watchdog
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
Cloudbric
Cloudbric
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
爱范儿
爱范儿
Application and Cybersecurity Blog
Application and Cybersecurity Blog
博客园 - 叶小钗
AI
AI
T
Tor Project blog
I
Intezer
T
Threatpost
www.infosecurity-magazine.com
www.infosecurity-magazine.com
V
Visual Studio Blog
N
News and Events Feed by Topic
Latest news
Latest news
S
Security Affairs
博客园 - Franky
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
C
Cyber Attacks, Cyber Crime and Cyber Security
K
KPMG report finds enterprise disconnect between AI and its ROI | CIO
B
Blog RSS Feed
C
Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency CISA
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
小众软件
小众软件
S
Securelist

Exponential View

📈 Data to start your week 🔮 Fifty years of Moore’s Law wasn’t fast enough for AI #580 🔮 The state of the AI economy 🔮 Product eats the AI company; the bitter lesson prevails; Fable 5 as CEO, undersea diplomacy & jellyfish sleep++ #579 🔮 Is AI immune to groupthink? 📈 Data to start your week 🔮 Exponential View #578: Fable & time to pause AI; iPhone vs babies; gene therapy, bad CEOs & Chinese Gen Z++ 🔮 The AI boom is becoming an entrepreneurship boom #577 💸 You’re paying for tokens. Now what? 🔥 We checked. Again. Still no bubble. 🔮 Does AI make you dumb? And why our forecasts suck #576 Live with Azeem: AI & ROI 🔮 Why AI isn’t showing up on your bottom line 📈 Why AI bills rise as costs fall 🔮 Exponential View #575: AI’s math breakthrough and its creative limits 👀 The AI backlash is the only thing growing faster than AI revenues 📈 Data to start your week: The cost of tokenmaxxing 🔮 Exponential View #574: Inside Anthropic’s rocket ship, commoditizing love & context-maxxing++ 📈 Cerebras and the IPO pop
‼️ A blueprint for managed decline
Azeem Azhar · 2026-06-13 · via Exponential View

Thomas Piketty, a French economist, has a recipe for global justice.

X avatar for @PikettyWIL

Thomas Piketty@PikettyWIL

The world today is characterized by large-scale inequalities. And a climate crisis is looming over us. We urgently need a new vision for global progress in the 21st Century. One that grounds human development and equality in planetary habitability. What would it take to

5:56 AM · Jun 4, 2026 · 730K Views

499 Replies · 346 Reposts · 910 Likes

In the Global Justice Report, Piketty and his co-authors recommend the world converge on a national income of €60,000 (around $68,000) per capita in 2025, in PPP terms, by 2100.

They, too, propose we:

  • Keep annual growth in Europe and the US to roughly 0-0.5% while poorer countries catch up,

  • Cut working hours to about 1,000 per worker per year,

  • Consume fewer material goods and more education, health, care and culture.

  • Fund the transition with steep taxes, including a wealth tax on billionaires and very high top income-tax rates.

Reports like this arrive with a splash: they profess to be blueprints for a just global economy. But this isn’t that. It’s really a roadmap to Animal Farm.

  1. The report misreads the history. It embraces growth for poor countries while freezing it in rich countries, as if the two were separate. The great escapes from poverty happened through trade, technology, supply chains and frontier knowledge. Much of it originated in wealthier nations. If the economic frontier slows down, the authors need to explain how the channels that allowed poor countries to converge would keep working as before. For a deep dive on growth and extreme poverty, read this.

  2. Bad science. For their climate assessment, the policy baseline is set at 4.8-4.9°C by 2100, which roughly aligns with the now discredited and “implausible” RCP 8.5 scenario. RCP 8.5 ignored that learning curves for solar and other renewables exist entirely. Robust academic research dating back to 2016 had already discredited it. (Read Michael Liebreich on this here.)
    Piketty has argued he used his own climate modelling projections, which happen to align with RCP 8.5. It makes at least one titanic assumption that we fail to “accelerate the energy transition.” That latter assumption is absurd given this is already happening. Solar, batteries, electric vehicles and many other technologies are on steep learning curves and spreading like topsy.

  1. Implausible politics. In the proposal, global incomes would converge at €5,000 per month (about $5,700) by 2100, with lower inequality within countries. For Western Europe and America, this would essentially mean a freeze on economic growth. In the case of the US, a growth in incomes of 0.12% per annum for 75 years. It is impossible to imagine 18 US electorates, from 2028 to 2096, agreeing to this. There would have to be some kind of external force majeure, an extraordinary top-down imposed policy against the will of citizens in nations across the globe. This is anti-democratic in its own right.