Abstract:Existing analyses of ergodic capacity in satellite mega-constellations often rely on restrictive serving time assumptions or become intractable under realistic handover strategies. This paper develops a framework for characterising the ergodic capacity of low-Earth-orbit (LEO) mega-constellation links under arbitrary handover strategies and serving times. The user--satellite link is modelled as shadowed-Rician fading, and a semi-stochastic satellite channel with persistence is introduced in which visible satellites are drawn from a non-homogeneous binomial point process (NBPP) at each handover and the selected satellite is then propagated using circular orbit dynamics. Under uncoordinated handover decisions, this yields independent serving periods and enables a renewal-theoretic derivation of persistent capacity. This capacity is related to the non-persistent capacity from prior work, and closed-form bounds are provided for efficient evaluation. Optimal handover is then formulated as a non-linear fractional program, yielding an explicit decision rule via a variant of Dinkelbach's algorithm. The results show that a simpler strategy that maximises serving capacity closely approximates the optimum while performing best under SGP4-based orbit prediction and mega-constellation simulation.
From: Brendon McBain Dr [view email]
[v1]
Tue, 2 Dec 2025 06:14:34 UTC (1,293 KB)
[v2]
Wed, 13 May 2026 01:13:35 UTC (1,312 KB)
[v3]
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 01:08:11 UTC (1,314 KB)
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