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ECG-biometrics-bench: A Unified Framework for Reproducible Benchmarking of ECG Biometrics Physiology-Aware Masked Cross-Modal Reconstruction for Biosignal Representation Learning Towards Improving Speaker Distance Estimation through Generative Impulse Response Augmentation Federated Learning with Hypergradient-based Online Update of Aggregation Weights Soft Graph Diffusion Transformer for MIMO Detection SPLICE: Latent Diffusion over JEPA Embeddings for Conformal Time-Series Inpainting Sequential Inference for Gaussian Processes: A Signal Processing Perspective Statistical Channel Fingerprint Construction for Massive MIMO: A Unified Tensor Learning Framework Recent Advances in mm-Wave and Sub-THz/THz Oscillators for FutureG Technologies Cross-Subject Generalization for EEG Decoding: A Survey of Deep Learning Methods Super-resolution Multi-signal Direction-of-Arrival Estimation by Hankel-structured Sensing and Decomposition Hankel and Toeplitz Rank-1 Decomposition of Arbitrary Matrices with Applications to Signal Direction-of-Arrival Estimation Adaptive Transform Coding for Semantic Compression EdgeSpike: Spiking Neural Networks for Low-Power Autonomous Sensing in Edge IoT Architectures Sparse Graph Learning from Sparse Data via Fiedler Number Maximization A Deep Learning Model for Battery State Prediction towards Intelligent Energy Management Transfer Learning for Tonal Noise Prediction in VRF Units Using Thermodynamic and Vibration Signals EVT-Based Generative AI for Tail-Aware Channel Estimation Monitoring exposure-length variations in submarine power cables using distributed fiber-optic sensing BandRouteNet: An Adaptive Band Routing Neural Network for EEG Artifact Removal Phase-Separated Complex Hilbert PCA on Markerless 3D Pose Estimation Data: A Global Phase Network and Its Extension to a Continuous Field on the Body Surface Selective Correlation Based Knowledge Distillation for Ground Reaction Force Estimation Deep Learning-Enabled Dissolved Oxygen Sensing in Biofouling Environments for Ocean Monitoring Speech Enhancement Based on Drifting Models Robust and Clinically Reliable EEG Biomarkers: A Cross Population Framework for Generalizable Parkinson's Disease Detection An AI-Based Supervisory Measurement Integrity Validation Layer for Cyber-Resilient AC/DC Protection in Inverter-Based Microgrids Explainable AI in Speaker Recognition -- Making Latent Representations Understandable Time-Localized Parametric Decomposition of Respiratory Airflow for Sub-Breath Analysis NAKUL-Med: Spectral-Graph State Space Models with Dynamics Kernels for Medical Signals An Algorithm for On-Sensor Agnostic Detection of Changes in Human Activity for Ultra-Low-Power Applications
Gaussian Process Regression for Probabilistic Short-term ...
Fatemeh Najibi, Dimitra Apostolopoulou, Eduardo Alonso · 2020-02-23 · via eess.SP updates on arXiv.org

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate forecasting mechanisms that address their inherent intermittency and variability. This paper proposes a probabilistic framework to predict short-term PV output taking into account the uncertainty of weather. To this end, we make use of datasets that comprise of power output and meteorological data such as irradiance, temperature, zenith, and azimuth. First, we categorise the data into four groups based on solar output and time by using k-means clustering. Next, a correlation study is performed to choose the weather features which affect solar output to a greater extent. Finally, we determine a function that relates the aforementioned selected features with solar output by using Gaussian Process Regression and Matern 5/2 as a kernel function. We validate our method with five solar generation plants in different locations and compare the results with existing methodologies. More specifically, in order to test the proposed model, two different methods are used: (i) 5-fold cross-validation; and (ii) holding out 30 random days as test data. To confirm the model accuracy, we apply our framework 30 independent times on each of the four clusters. The average error follows a normal distribution, and with 95% confidence level, it takes values between -1.6% to 1.4%.