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eess.SP updates on arXiv.org

ECG-biometrics-bench: A Unified Framework for Reproducible Benchmarking of ECG Biometrics Physiology-Aware Masked Cross-Modal Reconstruction for Biosignal Representation Learning Towards Improving Speaker Distance Estimation through Generative Impulse Response Augmentation Federated Learning with Hypergradient-based Online Update of Aggregation Weights Soft Graph Diffusion Transformer for MIMO Detection SPLICE: Latent Diffusion over JEPA Embeddings for Conformal Time-Series Inpainting Sequential Inference for Gaussian Processes: A Signal Processing Perspective Statistical Channel Fingerprint Construction for Massive MIMO: A Unified Tensor Learning Framework Recent Advances in mm-Wave and Sub-THz/THz Oscillators for FutureG Technologies Cross-Subject Generalization for EEG Decoding: A Survey of Deep Learning Methods Super-resolution Multi-signal Direction-of-Arrival Estimation by Hankel-structured Sensing and Decomposition Hankel and Toeplitz Rank-1 Decomposition of Arbitrary Matrices with Applications to Signal Direction-of-Arrival Estimation Adaptive Transform Coding for Semantic Compression EdgeSpike: Spiking Neural Networks for Low-Power Autonomous Sensing in Edge IoT Architectures Sparse Graph Learning from Sparse Data via Fiedler Number Maximization A Deep Learning Model for Battery State Prediction towards Intelligent Energy Management Transfer Learning for Tonal Noise Prediction in VRF Units Using Thermodynamic and Vibration Signals EVT-Based Generative AI for Tail-Aware Channel Estimation Monitoring exposure-length variations in submarine power cables using distributed fiber-optic sensing BandRouteNet: An Adaptive Band Routing Neural Network for EEG Artifact Removal Phase-Separated Complex Hilbert PCA on Markerless 3D Pose Estimation Data: A Global Phase Network and Its Extension to a Continuous Field on the Body Surface Selective Correlation Based Knowledge Distillation for Ground Reaction Force Estimation Deep Learning-Enabled Dissolved Oxygen Sensing in Biofouling Environments for Ocean Monitoring Speech Enhancement Based on Drifting Models Robust and Clinically Reliable EEG Biomarkers: A Cross Population Framework for Generalizable Parkinson's Disease Detection An AI-Based Supervisory Measurement Integrity Validation Layer for Cyber-Resilient AC/DC Protection in Inverter-Based Microgrids Explainable AI in Speaker Recognition -- Making Latent Representations Understandable Time-Localized Parametric Decomposition of Respiratory Airflow for Sub-Breath Analysis NAKUL-Med: Spectral-Graph State Space Models with Dynamics Kernels for Medical Signals An Algorithm for On-Sensor Agnostic Detection of Changes in Human Activity for Ultra-Low-Power Applications
A Novel Smoothed Loss and Penalty Function for Noncrossin...
Kostas Hatalis, Alberto J. Lamadrid, Katya Scheinberg, Shalinee · 2019-09-25 · via eess.SP updates on arXiv.org

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid when integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a single expected value, probabilistic forecasts provide more information in the form of quantiles, prediction intervals, or full predictive densities. Traditionally quantile regression is applied for such forecasting and recently quantile regression neural networks have become popular for weather and renewable energy forecasting. However, one major shortcoming of composite quantile estimation in neural networks is the quantile crossover problem. This paper analyzes the effectiveness of a novel smoothed loss and penalty function for neural network architectures to prevent the quantile crossover problem. Its efficacy is examined on the wind power forecasting problem. A numerical case study is conducted using publicly available wind data from the Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014. Multiple quantiles are estimated to form 10\%, to 90\% prediction intervals which are evaluated using a quantile score and reliability measures. Benchmark models such as the persistence and climatology distributions, multiple quantile regression, and support vector quantile regression are used for comparison where results demonstrate the proposed approach leads to improved performance while preventing the problem of overlapping quantile estimates.