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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Robust inference for an interval-monitored step-stress ex...
Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, Maria Jaenada, Leandro Pardo · 2023-11-08 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Accelerated life-tests (ALTs) are used for inferring lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products. In particular, step-stress ALTs increase the stress level at which units under test are subject at certain pre-fixed times, thus accelerating the product's wear and inducing its failure. In some cases, due to cost or product nature constraints, continuous monitoring of devices is infeasible, and so the units are inspected for failures at particular inspection time points. In a such setup, the ALT response is interval-censored. Furthermore, when a test unit fails, there are often more than one fatal cause for the failure, known as competing risks. In this paper, we assume that all competing risks are independent and follow exponential distributions with scale parameters depending on the stress level. Under this setup, we present a family of robust estimators based on density power divergence, including the classical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) as a particular case. We derive asymptotic and robustness properties of the Minimum Density Power Divergence Estimator (MDPDE), showing its consistency for large samples. Based on these MDPDEs, estimates of the lifetime characteristics of the product as well as estimates of cause-specific lifetime characteristics are then developed. Direct asymptotic, transformed and, bootstrap confidence intervals for the mean lifetime to failure, reliability at a mission time and, distribution quantiles are proposed, and their performance is then compared through Monte Carlo simulations. Moreover, the performance of the MDPDE family has been examined through an extensive numerical study and the methods of inference discussed here are finally illustrated with a real-data example concerning electronic devices.