惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
A
About on SuperTechFans
The Cloudflare Blog
G
Google Developers Blog
博客园_首页
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
L
LangChain Blog
D
Docker
C
Check Point Blog
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
博客园 - 司徒正美
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
V
V2EX
博客园 - 叶小钗
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
IT之家
IT之家
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
博客园 - 【当耐特】
GbyAI
GbyAI

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Towards reliable predictive analytics: a generalized cali...
Bavo De Cock Campo · 2023-09-10 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Calibration is a pivotal aspect in predictive modeling, as it ensures that the predictions closely correspond with what we observe empirically. The contemporary calibration framework, however, is predominantly focused on prediction models where the outcome is a binary variable. We extend the logistic calibration framework to the generalized calibration framework which includes all members of the exponential family of distributions. We propose two different methods to estimate the calibration curve in this setting, a generalized linear model and a non-parametric smoother. In addition, we define two measures that summarize the calibration performance. The generalized calibration slope which quantifies the amount of over- or underfitting and the generalized calibration slope or calibration-in-the-large that measures the agreement between the global empirical average and the average predicted value. We provide an illustrative example using a simulated data set and hereby show how we can utilize the generalized calibration framework to assess the calibration of different types of prediction models.