惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
博客园_首页
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
B
Blog
B
Blog RSS Feed
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
P
Proofpoint News Feed
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
量子位
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
U
Unit 42
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
博客园 - 叶小钗
博客园 - 【当耐特】
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
博客园 - Franky
博客园 - 聂微东

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
A Class of Generalized Hyperbolic Continuous Time Integra...
Lancelot F. James, John W. Lau · 2005-03-03 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

This paper discusses and analyzes a class of likelihood models which are based on two distributional innovations in financial models for stock returns. That is, the notion that the marginal distribution of aggregate returns of log-stock prices are well approximated by generalized hyperbolic distributions, and that volatility clustering can be handled by specifying the integrated volatility as a random process such as that proposed in a recent series of papers by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BNS). The BNS models produce likelihoods for aggregate returns which can be viewed as a subclass of latent regression models where one has n conditionally independent Normal random variables whose mean and variance are representable as linear functionals of a common unobserved Poisson random measure. James (2005b) recently obtains an exact analysis for such models yielding expressions of the likelihood in terms of quite tractable Fourier-Cosine integrals. Here, our idea is to analyze a class of likelihoods, which can be used for similar purposes, but where the latent regression models are based on n conditionally independent models with distributions belonging to a subclass of the generalized hyperbolic distributions and whose corresponding parameters are representable as linear functionals of a common unobserved Poisson random measure. Our models are perhaps most closely related to the Normal inverse Gaussian/GARCH/A-PARCH models of Brandorff-Nielsen (1997) and Jensen and Lunde (2001), where in our case the GARCH component is replaced by quantities such as INT-OU processes. It is seen that, importantly, such likelihood models exhibit quite different features structurally. One nice feature of the model is that it allows for more flexibility in terms of modelling of external regression parameters.