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math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Identification of Finite Dimensional Lévy Systems in Fina...
L. Gerencsér, M. Mánfay · 2013-02-21 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Lévy processes are widely used in financial mathematics to model return data. Price processes are then defined as a corresponding geometric Lévy process, implying the fact that returns are independent. In this paper we propose an alternative class of models allowing to describe dependence between return data. Technically such an alternative model class is obtained by considering finite dimensional linear stochastic SISO systems driven by a Lévy process. In this paper we consider a discrete-time version of this model, focusing on the problem of identifying the dynamics and the noise characteristics of such a so-called Lévy system. The special feature of this problem is that the characteristic function (c.f.) of the driving noise is explicitly known, possibly up to a few unknown parameters. We develop and analyze a variety of novel identification methods by adapting the so-called empirical characteristic function method (ECF) originally devised for estimating parameters of c.f.-s from i.i.d. samples. Precise characterization of the errors of these estimators will be given, and their asymptotic covariance matrices will be obtained. Their potential to outperform the prediction error method in estimating the system parameters will also be demonstrated.