惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

V
Visual Studio Blog
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
雷峰网
雷峰网
The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
罗磊的独立博客
月光博客
月光博客
J
Java Code Geeks
A
About on SuperTechFans
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
D
Docker
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
F
Fortinet All Blogs
U
Unit 42
C
Check Point Blog
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
有赞技术团队
有赞技术团队
博客园 - 叶小钗
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
阮一峰的网络日志
阮一峰的网络日志
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
On predictive density estimation with additional information
Éric Marchand, Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani · 2017-09-22 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Based on independently distributed $X_1 \sim N_p(θ_1, σ^2_1 I_p)$ and $X_2 \sim N_p(θ_2, σ^2_2 I_p)$, we consider the efficiency of various predictive density estimators for $Y_1 \sim N_p(θ_1, σ^2_Y I_p)$, with the additional information $θ_1 - θ_2 \in A$ and known $σ^2_1, σ^2_2, σ^2_Y$. We provide improvements on benchmark predictive densities such as plug-in, the maximum likelihood, and the minimum risk equivariant predictive densities. Dominance results are obtained for $α-$divergence losses and include Bayesian improvements for reverse Kullback-Leibler loss, and Kullback-Leibler (KL) loss in the univariate case ($p=1$). An ensemble of techniques are exploited, including variance expansion (for KL loss), point estimation duality, and concave inequalities. Representations for Bayesian predictive densities, and in particular for $\hat{q}_{π_{U,A}}$ associated with a uniform prior for $θ=(θ_1, θ_2)$ truncated to $\{θ\in \mathbb{R}^{2p}: θ_1 - θ_2 \in A \}$, are established and are used for the Bayesian dominance findings. Finally and interestingly, these Bayesian predictive densities also relate to skew-normal distributions, as well as new forms of such distributions.