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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Semigroups and sequential importance sampling for multiwa...
Jing Xi, Shaoceng Wei, Feng Zhou, Ruriko Yoshida, David Haws · 2011-08-11 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

When an interval of integers between the lower bound l_i and the upper bounds u_i is the support of the marginal distribution n_i|(n_{i-1}, ...,n_1), Chen et al. 2005 noticed that sampling from the interval at each step, for n_i during the sequential importance sampling (SIS) procedure, always produces a table which satisfies the marginal constraints. However, in general, the interval may not be equal to the support of the marginal distribution. In this case, the SIS procedure may produce tables which do not satisfy the marginal constraints, leading to rejection [Chen et al. 2006]. Rejecting tables is computationally expensive and incorrect proposal distributions result in biased estimators for the number of tables given its marginal sums. This paper has two focuses; (1) we propose a correction coefficient which corrects an interval of integers between the lower bound l_i and the upper bounds u_i to the support of the marginal distribution asymptotically even with rejections and with the same time complexity as the original SIS procedure (2) using univariate and bivariate logistic regression models, we present extensive experiments on simulated data sets for estimating the number of tables, and (3) we applied the volume test proposed by Diaconis and Efron 1985 on 2x2x6 randomly generated tables to compare the performance of SIS versus MCMC. When estimating the number of tables in our simulation study, we used univariate and bivariate logistic regression models since under these models the SIS procedure seems to have higher rate of rejections even with small tables. We also apply our correction coefficients to data sets on coronary heart disease and occurrence of esophageal cancer.