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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? 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The Fourier Transform Method for Volatility Functional Inference by Asynchronous Observations
Richard Y. Chen · 2019-11-06 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

We study the volatility functional inference by Fourier transforms. This spectral framework is advantageous in that it harnesses the power of harmonic analysis to handle missing data and asynchronous observations without any artificial time alignment nor data imputation. Under conditions, this spectral approach is consistent and we provide limit distributions using irregular and asynchronous observations. When observations are synchronous, the Fourier transform method for volatility functionals attains both the optimal convergence rate and the efficient bound in the sense of Le Cam and Hájek. Another finding is asynchronicity or missing data as a form of noise produces "interference" in the spectrum estimation and impacts on the convergence rate of volatility functional estimators. This new methodology extends previous applications of volatility functionals, including principal component analysis, generalized method of moments, continuous-time linear regression models et cetera, to high-frequency datasets of which asynchronicity is a prevailing feature.

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