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math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Sequential anomaly identification with observation contro...
Aristomenis Tsopelakos, Georgios Fellouris · 2024-12-06 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

The problem of sequential anomaly detection and identification is considered, where multiple data sources are simultaneously monitored and the goal is to identify in real time those, if any, that exhibit ``anomalous" statistical behavior. An upper bound is postulated on the number of data sources that can be sampled at each sampling instant, but the decision maker selects which ones to sample based on the already collected data. Thus, in this context, a policy consists not only of a stopping rule and a decision rule that determine when sampling should be terminated and which sources to identify as anomalous upon stopping, but also of a sampling rule that determines which sources to sample at each time instant subject to the sampling constraint. Two distinct formulations are considered, which require control of different, ``generalized" error metrics. The first one tolerates a certain user-specified number of errors, of any kind, whereas the second tolerates distinct, user-specified numbers of false positives and false negatives. For each of them, a universal asymptotic lower bound on the expected time for stopping is established as the error probabilities go to 0, and it is shown to be attained by a policy that combines the stopping and decision rules proposed in the full-sampling case with a probabilistic sampling rule that achieves a specific long-run sampling frequency for each source. Moreover, the optimal to a first order asymptotic approximation expected time for stopping is compared in simulation studies with the corresponding factor in a finite regime, and the impact of the sampling constraint and tolerance to errors is assessed.