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math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
A Spline Chaos Expansion
Sharif Rahman · 2019-11-09 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

A spline chaos expansion, referred to as SCE, is introduced for uncertainty quantification analysis. The expansion provides a means for representing an output random variable of interest with respect to multivariate orthonormal basis splines (B-splines) in input random variables. The multivariate B-splines are built from a whitening transformation to generate univariate orthonormal B-splines in each coordinate direction, followed by a tensor-product structure to produce the multivariate version. SCE, as it stems from compactly supported B-splines, tackles locally prominent responses more effectively than the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE). The approximation quality of the expansion is demonstrated in terms of the modulus of smoothness of the output function, leading to the mean-square convergence of SCE to the correct limit. Analytical formulae are proposed to calculate the mean and variance of an SCE approximation for a general output variable in terms of the requisite expansion coefficients. Numerical results indicate that a low-order SCE approximation with an adequate mesh is markedly more accurate than a high-order PCE approximation in estimating the output variances and probability distributions of oscillatory, nonsmooth, and nearly discontinuous functions.