惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

D
Docker
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
博客园 - Franky
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
A
About on SuperTechFans
博客园 - 【当耐特】
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
雷峰网
雷峰网
博客园_首页
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
IT之家
IT之家
博客园 - 叶小钗
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
博客园 - 聂微东
B
Blog RSS Feed
H
Help Net Security
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
阮一峰的网络日志
阮一峰的网络日志
D
DataBreaches.Net
L
LangChain Blog
Vercel News
Vercel News

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Modelling Correlated Bernoulli Data Part II: Inference
Louise Kimpton, Peter Challenor, Henry Wynn · 2022-12-08 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Binary data are highly common in many applications, however it is usually modelled with the assumption that the data are independently and identically distributed. This is typically not the case in many real-world examples and such the probability of a success can be dependent on the outcome successes of past events. The de Bruijn process (DBP) was introduced in Kimpton et al. [2022]. This is a correlated Bernoulli process which can be used to model binary data with known correlation. The correlation structures are included through the use of de Bruijn graphs, giving an extension to Markov chains. Given the DBP and an observed sequence of binary data, we present a method of inference using Bayes' factors. Results are applied to the Oxford and Cambridge annual boat race.