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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Topological trivialization in non-convex empirical risk m...
Andrea Montanari, Basil Saeed · 2026-02-17 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Given data $\{({\boldsymbol x}_i,y_i): i\le n\}$, with ${\boldsymbol x}_i$ standard $d$-dimensional Gaussian feature vectors, and $y_i\in{\mathbb R}$ response variables, we study the general problem of learning a model parametrized by ${\boldsymbol θ}\in{\mathbb R}^d$, by minimizing a loss function that depends on ${\boldsymbol θ}$ via the one-dimensional projections ${\boldsymbol θ}^{\sf T}{\boldsymbol x}_i$. While previous work mostly dealt with convex losses, our approach assumes general (non-convex) losses hence covering classical, yet poorly understood examples such as the perceptron and non-convex robust regression. We use the Kac-Rice formula to control the asymptotics of the expected number of local minima of the empirical risk, under the proportional asymptotics $n,d\to\infty$, $n/d\toα>1$. Specifically, we prove a finite dimensional variational formula for the exponential growth rate of the expected number of local minima. Further we provide sufficient conditions under which the exponential growth rate vanishes and all empirical risk minimizers have the same asymptotic properties (in fact, we expect the minimizer to be unique in these circumstances). We refer to this phenomenon as `rate trivialization.' If the population risk has a unique minimizer, our sufficient condition for rate trivialization is typically verified when the samples/parameters ratio $α$ is larger than a suitable constant $α_{\star}$. Previous general results of this type required $n\ge Cd \log d$. We illustrate our results in the case of non-convex robust regression. Based on heuristic arguments and numerical simulations, we present a conjecture for the exact location of the trivialization phase transition $α_{\text{tr}}$.