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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Globally-Optimal Greedy Experiment Selection for Active S...
Xiaoou Li, Hongru Zhao · 2024-02-14 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Motivated by modern applications such as computerized adaptive testing, sequential rank aggregation, and heterogeneous data source selection, we study the problem of active sequential estimation, which involves adaptively selecting experiments for sequentially collected data. The goal is to design experiment selection rules for more accurate model estimation. Greedy information-based experiment selection methods, optimizing the information gain for one-step ahead, have been employed in practice thanks to their computational convenience, flexibility to context or task changes, and broad applicability. However, statistical analysis is restricted to one-dimensional cases due to the problem's combinatorial nature and the seemingly limited capacity of greedy algorithms, leaving the multidimensional problem open. In this study, we close the gap for multidimensional problems. In particular, we propose adopting a class of greedy experiment selection methods and provide statistical analysis for the maximum likelihood estimator following these selection rules. This class encompasses both existing methods and introduces new methods with improved numerical efficiency. We prove that these methods produce consistent and asymptotically normal estimators. Additionally, within a decision theory framework, we establish that the proposed methods achieve asymptotic optimality when the risk measure aligns with the selection rule. We also conduct extensive numerical studies on both simulated and real data to illustrate the efficacy of the proposed methods. From a technical perspective, we devise new analytical tools to address theoretical challenges. These analytical tools are of independent theoretical interest and may be reused in related problems involving stochastic approximation and sequential designs.