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Consistency and Computation of Regularized MLEs for Multi...
Xin Guo, Anran Hu, Renyuan Xu, Junzi Zhang · 2018-10-06 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

This paper proves the consistency property for the regularized maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of multivariate Hawkes processes (MHPs). It also develops an alternating minimization type algorithm (AA-iPALM) to compute the MLEs with guaranteed global convergence to the set of stationary points. The performance of this AA-iPALM algorithm on both synthetic and real-world data shows that AA-iPALM consistently improves over iPALM and PALM. Moreover, AA-iPALM is able to identify the causality structure in rental listings on craigslist and herd behavior in the NASDAQ ITCH dataset.