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math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Posterior consistency in multi-response regression models...
Partha Sarkar, Kshitij Khare, Malay Ghosh · 2023-05-23 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

The Inverse-Wishart (IW) distribution is a standard and popular choice of priors for covariance matrices and has attractive properties such as conditional conjugacy. However, the IW family of priors has crucial drawbacks, including the lack of effective choices for non-informative priors. Several classes of priors for covariance matrices that alleviate these drawbacks, while preserving computational tractability, have been proposed in the literature. These priors can be obtained through appropriate scale mixtures of IW priors. However, in the era of increasing dimensionality, the posterior consistency of models that incorporate such priors has not been investigated. We address this issue for the multi-response regression setting ($q$ responses, $n$ samples) under a wide variety of IW scale mixture priors for the error covariance matrix. Posterior consistency and contraction rates for both the regression coefficient matrix and the error covariance matrix are established in the ``large $q$, large $n$'' setting under mild assumptions on the true data-generating covariance matrix and relevant hyperparameters. In particular, the number of responses $q_n$ is allowed to grow with $n$, but with $q_n = o(n)$. Also, some results related to the inconsistency of the posterior distribution and posterior mean for $q_n/n \to γ$, where $γ\in (0,\infty)$ are provided.