惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

C
Check Point Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
V
V2EX
博客园 - 【当耐特】
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
量子位
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
The Cloudflare Blog
月光博客
月光博客
I
InfoQ
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
爱范儿
爱范儿
小众软件
小众软件
罗磊的独立博客
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
J
Java Code Geeks
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Non-parametric cure models through extreme-value tail est...
Jan Beirlant, Martin Bladt, Ingrid Van Keilegom · 2025-04-01 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

In survival analysis, the estimation of the proportion of subjects who will never experience the event of interest, termed the cure rate, has received considerable attention recently. Its estimation can be a particularly difficult task when follow-up is not sufficient, that is when the censoring mechanism has a smaller support than the distribution of the target data. In the latter case, non-parametric estimators were recently proposed using extreme value methodology, assuming that the distribution of the susceptible population is in the Fréchet or Gumbel max-domains of attraction. In this paper, we take the extreme value techniques one step further, to jointly estimate the cure rate and the extreme value index, using probability plotting methodology, and in particular using the full information contained in the top order statistics. In other words, under sufficient or insufficient follow-up, we reconstruct the immune proportion. To this end, a Peaks-over-Threshold approach is proposed under the Gumbel max-domain assumption. Next, the approach is also transferred to more specific models such as Pareto, log-normal and Weibull tail models, allowing to recognize the most important tail characteristics of the susceptible population. We establish the asymptotic behavior of our estimators under regularization. Though simulation studies, our estimators are show to rival and often outperform established models, even when purely considering cure rate estimation. Finally, we provide an application of our method to Norwegian birth registry data.