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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Estimation of the elasticity for CKLS model from high-fre...
Boyuan Ning, Yasutaka Shimizu · 2025-12-08 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

We investigate parametric estimation of the elasticity parameter in the CKLS diffusion based on high-frequency data. First, we transform the CKLS diffusion to a CIR-type one via a smooth state-space mapping and the general Girsanov change of measure. This transformation enables the applications of existing inference tools for CIR processes while ensuring possibilities of transferring the resulting limit theorems back to the original probability space. However, because Feller's condition fails, many existing high-frequency likelihood-based procedures cannot be applied directly, since their discretization schemes approximate likelihood terms involving the reciprocal of the process by Riemann sums that are no longer well-defined once the paths are allowed to hit zero. Instead, we estimate the drift coefficient of the transformed CIR-type model via a procedure based on its positive Harris recurrence, which is valid in the high-frequency regime. Exploiting the drift-elasticity relationship implied by the CKLS--CIR transformation, with the help of an initial estimation, we obtain an estimator of the CKLS elasticity from the CIR drift estimator in the transformed model. This yields a closed-form estimator of the elasticity parameter with an explicit asymptotic variance. We establish its $p$-consistency, stable convergence in law, and asymptotic normality. Finally, we show that stable convergence in law is invariant under equivalent changes of measure, thereby guaranteeing that the Gaussian limit remains invariant under the original measure.