惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

T
Tailwind CSS Blog
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
博客园 - 叶小钗
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
博客园 - 【当耐特】
The Cloudflare Blog
博客园 - 聂微东
博客园 - 司徒正美
量子位
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
G
Google Developers Blog
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
罗磊的独立博客
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
Y
Y Combinator Blog
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
P
Proofpoint News Feed
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
有赞技术团队
有赞技术团队
A
About on SuperTechFans

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Time-varying first-order autoregressive processes with ir...
Hanna Gruber, Moritz Jirak · 2022-01-24 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is Hölder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A precise control of this method demands a delicate analysis of extremes of certain weakly dependent processes, our main result being a concentration inequality for such quantities. Based on our analysis, upper and matching minimax lower bounds are derived, showing the optimality of our estimators. Unlike the regular case, the information theoretic complexity depends both on the smoothness and an additional shape parameter, characterizing the irregularity of the underlying distribution. The results and ideas for the proofs are very different from classical and more recent methods in connection with statistics and inference for locally stationary processes.