惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

有赞技术团队
有赞技术团队
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
IT之家
IT之家
博客园 - 【当耐特】
罗磊的独立博客
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
I
InfoQ
B
Blog RSS Feed
腾讯CDC
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
GbyAI
GbyAI
雷峰网
雷峰网
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
D
DataBreaches.Net
The Cloudflare Blog
V
V2EX
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
On the Impact of Serial Dependence on Penalized Regressio...
Simone Tonini, Francesca Chiaromonte, Alessandro Giovannelli · 2022-08-01 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

This paper characterizes the impact of covariate serial dependence on the non-asymptotic estimation error bound of penalized regressions (PRs). Focusing on the direct relationship between the degree of cross-correlation between covariates and the estimation error bound of PRs, we show that orthogonal or weakly cross-correlated stationary AR processes can exhibit high spurious correlations caused by serial dependence. We provide analytical results on the distribution of the sample cross-correlation in the case of two orthogonal Gaussian AR(1) processes, and extend and validate them through an extensive simulation study. Furthermore, we introduce a new procedure to mitigate spurious correlations in a time series setting, applying PRs to pre-whitened (ARMA filtered) time series. We show that under mild assumptions our procedure allows both to reduce the estimation error and to develop an effective forecasting strategy. The estimation accuracy of our proposal is validated through additional simulations, as well as an empirical application to a large set of monthly macroeconomic time series relative to the Euro Area.