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Time-varying nonlinear regression models: Nonparametric e...
Ting Zhang, Wei Biao Wu · 2015-03-18 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

This paper considers a general class of nonparametric time series regression models where the regression function can be time-dependent. We establish an asymptotic theory for estimates of the time-varying regression functions. For this general class of models, an important issue in practice is to address the necessity of modeling the regression function as nonlinear and time-varying. To tackle this, we propose an information criterion and prove its selection consistency property. The results are applied to the U.S. Treasury interest rate data.