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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
A Random Matrix--Theoretic Approach to Handling Singular ...
Thomas L. Marzetta, Gabriel H. Tucci, Steven H. Simon · 2010-10-04 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

In many practical situations we would like to estimate the covariance matrix of a set of variables from an insufficient amount of data. More specifically, if we have a set of $N$ independent, identically distributed measurements of an $M$ dimensional random vector the maximum likelihood estimate is the sample covariance matrix. Here we consider the case where $N<M$ such that this estimate is singular and therefore fundamentally bad. We present a radically new approach to deal with this situation. Let $X$ be the $M\times N$ data matrix, where the columns are the $N$ independent realizations of the random vector with covariance matrix $Σ$. Without loss of generality, we can assume that the random variables have zero mean. We would like to estimate $Σ$ from $X$. Let $K$ be the classical sample covariance matrix. Fix a parameter $1\leq L\leq N$ and consider an ensemble of $L\times M$ random unitary matrices, $\{Φ\}$, having Haar probability measure. Pre and post multiply $K$ by $Φ$, and by the conjugate transpose of $Φ$ respectively, to produce a non--singular $L\times L$ reduced dimension covariance estimate. A new estimate for $Σ$, denoted by $\mathrm{cov}_L(K)$, is obtained by a) projecting the reduced covariance estimate out (to $M\times M$) through pre and post multiplication by the conjugate transpose of $Φ$, and by $Φ$ respectively, and b) taking the expectation over the unitary ensemble. Another new estimate (this time for $Σ^{-1}$), $\mathrm{invcov}_L(K)$, is obtained by a) inverting the reduced covariance estimate, b) projecting the inverse out (to $M\times M$) through pre and post multiplication by the conjugate transpose of $Φ$, and by $Φ$ respectively, and c) taking the expectation over the unitary ensemble. We have a closed analytical expression for $\mathrm{invcov}_L(K)$ and $\mathrm{cov}_L(K)$ in terms of its eigenvalue decomposition.