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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Misspecification Analysis of High-Dimensional Random Effe...
[Submitted on 13 Feb 2022 (v1), last revised 10 Jul 2026 (this v · 2022-02-14 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Estimation of signal-to-noise ratios and residual variances in high-dimensional linear models has various important applications, including heritability estimation in bioinformatics. One widely used estimator is the Gaussian random-effects maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), based on the likelihood of the homogeneous Gaussian random-effects model in which both the regression coefficients and the noise variables are assumed to be i.i.d. Gaussian. This paper studies the behavior of this likelihood estimator under model misspecification. For isotropic random designs with independent, symmetric, sub-Gaussian entries, we establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the SNR MLE for fixed dense coefficient vectors and independent, centered, heteroscedastic finite-moment noise, allowing moderately heavy-tailed errors. We also give parallel consistency and central limit results for correlated Gaussian noise as a benchmark. The asymptotic variance depends on the limiting aspect ratio, the true SNR, and a scalar noise-square fluctuation parameter. This explicit form yields feasible plug-in confidence intervals under independent noise in two cases where the fluctuation parameter can be estimated from response fourth moments: heterogeneous Gaussian noise and homogeneous non-Gaussian noise. Numerical simulations compare likelihood-based and method-of-moments confidence intervals under heterogeneous and non-Gaussian noise, and a real-data illustration demonstrates the resulting calibrations on high-dimensional text features.

Submission history

From: Xiaodong Li [view email]
[v1] Sun, 13 Feb 2022 20:26:49 UTC (1,367 KB)
[v2] Wed, 7 Jun 2023 21:57:46 UTC (1,294 KB)
[v3] Fri, 10 Jul 2026 05:09:37 UTC (525 KB)