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math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Bayesian Global Fréchet Regression via Weak Conditional E...
Simon Fontaine, Bing Li, Lingzhou Xue · 2026-06-06 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

Fréchet regression provides a versatile framework for modeling responses in metric spaces with Euclidean predictors, yet current methodologies rely almost exclusively on frequentist approaches. We propose a Bayesian framework for Fréchet regression that offers a principled way of incorporating prior information into nonlinear global Fréchet regression. By targeting a novel Fréchet Bayes rule, we reduce the object-valued regression problem to a collection of tractable scalar regression tasks. Our approach allows for a controlled interpolation between the prior and the data-driven frequentist estimate, facilitating effective shrinkage toward informed values. While initially derived under Gaussian assumptions, we demonstrate that our framework is robust to model misspecification by establishing its validity under moment conditions via weak conditional expectations. The numerical properties of the proposed methodology are demonstrated in simulation studies and an application to microbiome compositional data, where we show that leveraging an auxiliary cohort to inform the prior significantly enhances predictive performance in a targeted, small-scale study