惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园 - 【当耐特】
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
罗磊的独立博客
C
Check Point Blog
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
月光博客
月光博客
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
博客园_首页
J
Java Code Geeks
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
爱范儿
爱范儿
I
InfoQ
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
B
Blog RSS Feed

math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Visibility in the Boolean Model on Harmonic Manifolds Global estimates on the Brenier map Geodesics and Wandering Exponents in Brochette First-Passage Percolation State-dependent inverse-subordinator time changes of regenerative processes: Excursion structure and multiscale occupation-time limits Randomly twisted transfer operators and singular values statistics Generalized Bessel-Dunkl diffusions An almost sure invariance principle for the Takagi-van der Waerden class functions Central limit theorems for high dimensional lattice polytopes: cosmological polytopes Convergence rate estimates for semigroups and heat kernels associated with resistance forms Second-order Poincaré inequalities and localization on the Poisson space Maximum Probability of Independence in Transitive Matroids On global solutions to the semidiscrete stochastic heat equation The Poisson Tail Conjecture for primes in short intervals A Complete Spectral Analysis of the CEV Operator with Applications to Arbitrage Holographic functions and neural networks From Betting to Empirical Bernstein LIL Concentration of General Stochastic Approximation Under Heavy-Tailed Markovian Noise Pointwise Generalization in Deep Neural Networks Bayesian Latent Space Models for Graphs Are Misspecified: Toward Robust Inference via Generalized Posteriors Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process A note on connections between the Föllmer process and the denoising diffusion probabilistic model Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations A Fourier perspective on the learning dynamics of neural networks: from sample complexities to mechanistic insights Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps Dimension-Uniform Discretization Analysis of Preconditioned Annealed Langevin Dynamics for Multimodal Gaussian Mixtures $α$-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors Scaling Laws from Sequential Feature Recovery: A Solvable Hierarchical Model On the Limits of Latent Reuse in Diffusion Models State-of-art minibatches via novel DPP kernels: discretization, wavelets, and rough objectives
Hidden tail chains and recurrence equations for dependenc...
Ioannis Papastathopoulos, Adrian Casey, Jonathan A. Tawn · 2019-03-11 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a threshold, as the threshold tends to the upper endpoint of the distribution. Unlike previous studies with $k>1$, we consider processes where standard limit theory describes each extreme event as a single observation without any information about the transition to and from the body of the distribution. Our work uses different asymptotic theory which results in non-degenerate limit laws for such processes. We study the extremal properties of the initial distribution and the transition probability kernel of the Markov chain under weak assumptions for broad classes of extremal dependence structures that cover both asymptotically dependent and asymptotically independent Markov chains. For chains with $k>1$, the transition of the chain away from the exceedance involves novel functions of the $k$ previous states, in comparison to just the single value, when $k=1$. This leads to an increase in the complexity of determining the form of this class of functions, their properties and the method of their derivation in applications. We find that it is possible to derive an affine normalization, dependent on the threshold excess, such that non-degenerate limiting behaviour of the process is assured for all lags. These normalization functions have an attractive structure that has parallels to the Yule-Walker equations. Furthermore, the limiting process is always linear in the innovations. We illustrate the results with the study of $k$th order stationary Markov chains with exponential margins based on widely studied families of copula dependence structures.