






















We study a sequential coin-flipping game: a player starts with $n$~coins, each heads with probability~$p$, and in each round flips all remaining coins and must set aside at least one head, losing if none shows. The player wins once all coins have been set aside. The optimal winning probability~$w_{n,p}$ obeys a Bellman equation with a nonlinear suffix-maximum operator. For $p=\tfrac12$ every strategy achieves $w_{n,1/2}=\tfrac12$. For $p>\tfrac12$ the strategy~\One{} (set aside a single head) is optimal, $n\mapsto w_{n,p}$ is strictly increasing, and the limit $W(p):=\lim_n w_{n,p}$ has an explicit series representation with $p\le W(p)<1$. For $p<\tfrac12$ near~$\tfrac12$ we give a first-order perturbation expansion in $δ:=\tfrac12-p$: the deficit satisfies $\tfrac12-w_{n,\,1/2-δ}\approxδ\,c_n$, where $c_n$ obeys a linear recursion for $n\ge7$ with limit $L\approx1.7035$. To first order the optimal-value sequence has a strict local minimum at $n=5$ and no local maximum.
此内容由惯性聚合(RSS阅读器)自动聚合整理,仅供阅读参考。 原文来自 — 版权归原作者所有。