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Maximizing the expected number of components in an online...
Fabrício Siqueira Benevides, Małgorzata Sulkowska · 2020-04-02 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

The following optimal stopping problem is considered. The vertices of a graph $G$ are revealed one by one, in a random order, to a selector. He aims to stop this process at a time $t$ that maximizes the expected number of connected components in the graph $\tilde{G}_t$, induced by the currently revealed vertices. The selector knows $G$ in advance, but different versions of the game are considered depending on the information that he gets about $\tilde{G}_t$. We show that when $G$ has $N$ vertices and maximum degree of order $o(\sqrt{N})$, then the number of components of $\tilde{G}_t$ is concentrated around its mean, which implies that playing the optimal strategy the selector does not benefit much by receiving more information about $\tilde{G}_t$. Results of similar nature were previously obtained by M. Lasoń for the case where $G$ is a $k$-tree (for constant $k$). We also consider the particular cases where $G$ is a square, triangular or hexagonal lattice, showing that an optimal selector gains $cN$ components and we compute $c$ with an error less than $0.005$ in each case.