惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
Vercel News
Vercel News
D
Docker
博客园 - 聂微东
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
D
DataBreaches.Net
B
Blog RSS Feed
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
博客园 - Franky
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
美团技术团队
F
Fortinet All Blogs
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
GbyAI
GbyAI
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
G
Google Developers Blog
腾讯CDC

math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Visibility in the Boolean Model on Harmonic Manifolds Global estimates on the Brenier map Geodesics and Wandering Exponents in Brochette First-Passage Percolation State-dependent inverse-subordinator time changes of regenerative processes: Excursion structure and multiscale occupation-time limits Randomly twisted transfer operators and singular values statistics Generalized Bessel-Dunkl diffusions An almost sure invariance principle for the Takagi-van der Waerden class functions Central limit theorems for high dimensional lattice polytopes: cosmological polytopes Convergence rate estimates for semigroups and heat kernels associated with resistance forms Second-order Poincaré inequalities and localization on the Poisson space Maximum Probability of Independence in Transitive Matroids On global solutions to the semidiscrete stochastic heat equation The Poisson Tail Conjecture for primes in short intervals A Complete Spectral Analysis of the CEV Operator with Applications to Arbitrage Holographic functions and neural networks From Betting to Empirical Bernstein LIL Concentration of General Stochastic Approximation Under Heavy-Tailed Markovian Noise Pointwise Generalization in Deep Neural Networks Bayesian Latent Space Models for Graphs Are Misspecified: Toward Robust Inference via Generalized Posteriors Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process A note on connections between the Föllmer process and the denoising diffusion probabilistic model Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations A Fourier perspective on the learning dynamics of neural networks: from sample complexities to mechanistic insights Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps Dimension-Uniform Discretization Analysis of Preconditioned Annealed Langevin Dynamics for Multimodal Gaussian Mixtures $α$-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors Scaling Laws from Sequential Feature Recovery: A Solvable Hierarchical Model On the Limits of Latent Reuse in Diffusion Models State-of-art minibatches via novel DPP kernels: discretization, wavelets, and rough objectives
The Law of Large Numbers and CLT for Non-stationary Marko...
Monte Fischer, Peter W. Glynn · 2025-06-10 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

In this paper, we develop a general law of large numbers and central limit theorem for cumulative reward processes associated with finite state Markov jump processes with non-stationary transition rates. Such models commonly arise in service operations and manufacturing applications in which time-of-day, day-of-week, and secular effects are of first-order importance in predicting system behavior. Our theorems allow for non-stationary reward environments that continuously accumulate reward, while also including contributions from non-stationary lump-sum rewards of random size that are collected at either jump times of the underlying process, jump times of a Poisson process modulated by the underlying process, or scheduled deterministic times. As part of our development, we also obtain a new central limit theorem for the special case in which the jump process transition rates and reward structure are periodic (as may occur over a weekly time interval), as well as for jump process models with resetting. We include a simulation study illustrating the quality of our CLT approximations for several non-stationary stochastic models.