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math.PR updates on arXiv.org

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Asymptotic hydrographs and anomalous dispersion in mass-c...
[Submitted on 19 Jun 2026] · 2026-06-23 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Sums of independent exponential random variables lead to the Erlang distribution, providing a direct probabilistic route from exponential waiting times to the integer-shape gamma law. This paper investigates how this classical construction changes when the exponential waiting-time density is replaced by the $q$-exponential density of nonextensive statistics. Our main result is an analytical asymptotic expression for the outflow of a mass-conserving cascade of reservoirs driven by a $q$-exponential waiting-time kernel. In the critical case $q=5/3$, the large-cascade flow rate converges to a stable Lévy density whose time argument is shifted by a Galilean-type transformation. This shifted Lévy law gives the asymptotic hydrograph of the cascade. We also found that for the entire regime $1<q<2$ the macroscopic dynamics are governed by $\alpha$-stable Lévy laws. This proves that anomalous non-Gaussian dispersion can emerge from pure mass-conserving convolutional chains without invoking fractional derivatives.

Submission history

From: Henrique Lima [view email]
[v1] Fri, 19 Jun 2026 04:52:02 UTC (456 KB)