惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
博客园_首页
G
Google Developers Blog
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
罗磊的独立博客
博客园 - 【当耐特】
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
D
Docker
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
博客园 - 司徒正美
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
博客园 - 叶小钗
月光博客
月光博客
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
Jina AI
Jina AI
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
博客园 - Franky
L
LangChain Blog
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
阮一峰的网络日志
阮一峰的网络日志
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI

math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Visibility in the Boolean Model on Harmonic Manifolds Global estimates on the Brenier map Geodesics and Wandering Exponents in Brochette First-Passage Percolation State-dependent inverse-subordinator time changes of regenerative processes: Excursion structure and multiscale occupation-time limits Randomly twisted transfer operators and singular values statistics Generalized Bessel-Dunkl diffusions An almost sure invariance principle for the Takagi-van der Waerden class functions Central limit theorems for high dimensional lattice polytopes: cosmological polytopes Convergence rate estimates for semigroups and heat kernels associated with resistance forms Second-order Poincaré inequalities and localization on the Poisson space Maximum Probability of Independence in Transitive Matroids On global solutions to the semidiscrete stochastic heat equation The Poisson Tail Conjecture for primes in short intervals A Complete Spectral Analysis of the CEV Operator with Applications to Arbitrage Holographic functions and neural networks From Betting to Empirical Bernstein LIL Concentration of General Stochastic Approximation Under Heavy-Tailed Markovian Noise Pointwise Generalization in Deep Neural Networks Bayesian Latent Space Models for Graphs Are Misspecified: Toward Robust Inference via Generalized Posteriors Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process A note on connections between the Föllmer process and the denoising diffusion probabilistic model Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations A Fourier perspective on the learning dynamics of neural networks: from sample complexities to mechanistic insights Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps Dimension-Uniform Discretization Analysis of Preconditioned Annealed Langevin Dynamics for Multimodal Gaussian Mixtures $α$-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors Scaling Laws from Sequential Feature Recovery: A Solvable Hierarchical Model On the Limits of Latent Reuse in Diffusion Models State-of-art minibatches via novel DPP kernels: discretization, wavelets, and rough objectives
Temporal Scale Estimation for Oversampled Network Cascade...
Abram Magner, Carolyn Kaminski, Petko Bogdanov · 2021-09-23 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Spreading processes on graphs arise in a host of application domains, from the study of online social networks to viral marketing to epidemiology. Various discrete-time probabilistic models for spreading processes have been proposed. These are used for downstream statistical estimation and prediction problems, often involving messages or other information that is transmitted along with infections caused by the process. It is thus important to design models of cascade observation that take into account phenomena that lead to uncertainty about the process state at any given time. We highlight one such phenomenon -- temporal distortion -- caused by a misalignment between the rate at which observations of a cascade process are made and the rate at which the process itself operates, and argue that failure to correct for it results in degradation of performance on downstream statistical tasks. To address these issues, we formulate the clock estimation problem in terms of a natural distortion measure. We give a clock estimation algorithm, which we call FastClock, that runs in linear time in the size of its input and is provably statistically accurate for a broad range of model parameters when cascades are generated from the independent cascade process with known parameters and when the underlying graph is Erdős-Rényi. We further give empirical results on the performance of our algorithm in comparison to the state of the art estimator, a likelihood proxy maximization-based estimator implemented via dynamic programming. We find that, in a broad parameter regime, our algorithm substantially outperforms the dynamic programming algorithm in terms of both running time and accuracy.