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In this work, we determine the critical $H$-percolation threshold $p_c(n,H)$ for every graph $H$, fully resolving a longstanding open question of Balogh, Bollobás, and Morris. The location of $p_c(n,H)$ is governed by a new, universal parameter $\rho(H)$, which measures the maximal efficiency of witness graphs that activate an edge.
To achieve this, we introduce a novel framework based on the unfolding and refolding of witness graphs. While previous works were restricted to specific families of $H$, our approach provides a unified strategy for all $H$. Inspired by algebraic topology, we lift witness graphs to covering graphs and algorithmically embed folded versions into ${\mathcal G}_{n,p}$ via a sequence of extensions. Crucially, this allows us to incorporate highly efficient witness graphs of unbounded size, which are potentially far larger than ${\mathcal G}_{n,p}$ itself.
Beyond resolving $p_c(n,H)$, our framework recovers and strengthens several existing bounds in the literature. Finally, we initiate the study of the universal density parameter $\rho(H)$ and pose central open questions regarding its computability and its exact correspondence with the sharpness of the $H$-percolation threshold.
From: Brett Kolesnik [view email]
[v1]
Thu, 14 May 2026 16:56:35 UTC (86 KB)
[v2]
Mon, 10 Aug 2026 11:54:50 UTC (87 KB)
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