惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
IT之家
IT之家
C
Check Point Blog
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
美团技术团队
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
Jina AI
Jina AI
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
G
Google Developers Blog
F
Fortinet All Blogs
V
Visual Studio Blog
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
爱范儿
爱范儿
The Cloudflare Blog
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)

math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Visibility in the Boolean Model on Harmonic Manifolds Global estimates on the Brenier map Geodesics and Wandering Exponents in Brochette First-Passage Percolation State-dependent inverse-subordinator time changes of regenerative processes: Excursion structure and multiscale occupation-time limits Randomly twisted transfer operators and singular values statistics Generalized Bessel-Dunkl diffusions An almost sure invariance principle for the Takagi-van der Waerden class functions Central limit theorems for high dimensional lattice polytopes: cosmological polytopes Convergence rate estimates for semigroups and heat kernels associated with resistance forms Second-order Poincaré inequalities and localization on the Poisson space Maximum Probability of Independence in Transitive Matroids On global solutions to the semidiscrete stochastic heat equation The Poisson Tail Conjecture for primes in short intervals A Complete Spectral Analysis of the CEV Operator with Applications to Arbitrage Holographic functions and neural networks From Betting to Empirical Bernstein LIL Concentration of General Stochastic Approximation Under Heavy-Tailed Markovian Noise Pointwise Generalization in Deep Neural Networks Bayesian Latent Space Models for Graphs Are Misspecified: Toward Robust Inference via Generalized Posteriors Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process A note on connections between the Föllmer process and the denoising diffusion probabilistic model Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations A Fourier perspective on the learning dynamics of neural networks: from sample complexities to mechanistic insights Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps Dimension-Uniform Discretization Analysis of Preconditioned Annealed Langevin Dynamics for Multimodal Gaussian Mixtures $α$-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors Scaling Laws from Sequential Feature Recovery: A Solvable Hierarchical Model On the Limits of Latent Reuse in Diffusion Models State-of-art minibatches via novel DPP kernels: discretization, wavelets, and rough objectives
The Large Space of Information Structures
2019-04-01 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

We revisit the question of modeling incomplete information among 2 Bayesian players, following an ex-ante approach based on values of zero-sum games. $K$ being the finite set of possible parameters, an information structure is defined as a probability distribution $u$ with finite support over $K\times \mathbb{N} \times \mathbb{N}$ with the interpretation that: $u$ is publicly known by the players, $(k,c,d)$ is selected according to $u$, then $c$ (resp. $d$) is announced to player 1 (resp. player 2). Given a payoff structure $g$, composed of matrix games indexed by the state, the value of the incomplete information game defined by $u$ and $g$ is denoted $\mathrm{val}(u,g)$. We evaluate the pseudo-distance $d(u,v)$ between 2 information structures $u$ and $v$ by the supremum of $|\mathrm{val}(u,g)-\mathrm{val}(v,g)|$ for all $g$ with payoffs in $[-1,1]$, and study the metric space $Z^*$ of equivalent information structures. We first provide a tractable characterization of $d(u,v)$, as the minimal distance between 2 polytopes, and recover the characterization of Peski (2008) for $u \succeq v$, generalizing to 2 players Blackwell's comparison of experiments via garblings. We then show that $Z^*$, endowed with a weak distance $d_W$, is homeomorphic to the set of consistent probabilities with finite support over the universal belief space of Mertens and Zamir. Finally we show the existence of a sequence of information structures, where players acquire more and more information, and of $\varepsilon>0$ such that any two elements of the sequence have distance at least $\varepsilon$: having more and more information may lead now here. As a consequence, the completion of $(Z^*,d)$ is not compact, hence not homeomorphic to the set of consistent probabilities over the states of the world {\it à la} Mertens and Zamir. This example answers by the negative the second (and last unsolved) of the three problems posed by J.F. Mertens in his paper ``Repeated Games", ICM 1986.