惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园 - 司徒正美
The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
L
LangChain Blog
GbyAI
GbyAI
博客园_首页
V
Visual Studio Blog
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
博客园 - 叶小钗
腾讯CDC
博客园 - Franky
IT之家
IT之家
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
D
Docker
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
小众软件
小众软件
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
B
Blog
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell

math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Visibility in the Boolean Model on Harmonic Manifolds Global estimates on the Brenier map Geodesics and Wandering Exponents in Brochette First-Passage Percolation State-dependent inverse-subordinator time changes of regenerative processes: Excursion structure and multiscale occupation-time limits Randomly twisted transfer operators and singular values statistics Generalized Bessel-Dunkl diffusions An almost sure invariance principle for the Takagi-van der Waerden class functions Central limit theorems for high dimensional lattice polytopes: cosmological polytopes Convergence rate estimates for semigroups and heat kernels associated with resistance forms Second-order Poincaré inequalities and localization on the Poisson space Maximum Probability of Independence in Transitive Matroids On global solutions to the semidiscrete stochastic heat equation The Poisson Tail Conjecture for Primes in Short Intervals A Complete Spectral Analysis of the CEV Operator with Applications to Arbitrage Holographic functions and neural networks From Betting to Empirical Bernstein LIL Concentration of General Stochastic Approximation Under Heavy-Tailed Markovian Noise Pointwise Generalization in Deep Neural Networks Bayesian Latent Space Models for Graphs Are Misspecified: Toward Robust Inference via Generalized Posteriors Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process A note on connections between the Föllmer process and the denoising diffusion probabilistic model Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations A Fourier perspective on the learning dynamics of neural networks: from sample complexities to mechanistic insights Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps Dimension-Uniform Discretization Analysis of Preconditioned Annealed Langevin Dynamics for Multimodal Gaussian Mixtures $α$-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors Scaling Laws from Sequential Feature Recovery: A Solvable Hierarchical Model On the Limits of Latent Reuse in Diffusion Models State-of-art minibatches via novel DPP kernels: discretization, wavelets, and rough objectives
Analysis of a household-scale model for the invasion of W...
Abby Barlow, Sarah Penington, Ben Adams · 2025-02-18 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

In areas infested with Aedes aegypti mosquitoes it may be possible to control dengue, and some other vector-borne diseases, by introducing Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes into the wildtype population. Thus far, empirical and theoretical studies of Wolbachia release have tended to focus on the dynamics at the community scale. However, Ae. aegypti mosquitoes typically dwell in and around the same houses as the people they bite and it can be insightful to explore what happens at the household scale where small population sizes lead to inherently stochastic dynamics. Here we use a continuous-time Markov framework to develop a stochastic household model for small populations of wildtype and Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes. We investigate the transient and long term dynamics of the system, in particular examining the impact of stochasticity on the Wolbachia invasion threshold and bistability between the wildtype-only and Wolbachia-only steady states previously observed in deterministic models. We focus on the influence of key parameters which determine the fitness cost of Wolbachia infection and the probability of Wolbachia vertical transmission. Using Markov and matrix population theory, we derive salient characteristics of the system including the probability of successful Wolbachia invasion, the expected time until invasion and the probability that a Wolbachia-infected population reverts to a wildtype population. These attributes can inform strategies for the release of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes. In addition, we find that releasing the minimum number of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes required to displace a resident wildtype population according to the deterministic model, only results in that outcome about 20% of the time in the stochastic model; a significantly larger release is required to reach a steady state composed entirely of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes 90% of the time.