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math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Visibility in the Boolean Model on Harmonic Manifolds Global estimates on the Brenier map Geodesics and Wandering Exponents in Brochette First-Passage Percolation State-dependent inverse-subordinator time changes of regenerative processes: Excursion structure and multiscale occupation-time limits Randomly twisted transfer operators and singular values statistics Generalized Bessel-Dunkl diffusions An almost sure invariance principle for the Takagi-van der Waerden class functions Central limit theorems for high dimensional lattice polytopes: cosmological polytopes Convergence rate estimates for semigroups and heat kernels associated with resistance forms Second-order Poincaré inequalities and localization on the Poisson space Maximum Probability of Independence in Transitive Matroids On global solutions to the semidiscrete stochastic heat equation The Poisson Tail Conjecture for primes in short intervals A Complete Spectral Analysis of the CEV Operator with Applications to Arbitrage Holographic functions and neural networks From Betting to Empirical Bernstein LIL Concentration of General Stochastic Approximation Under Heavy-Tailed Markovian Noise Pointwise Generalization in Deep Neural Networks Bayesian Latent Space Models for Graphs Are Misspecified: Toward Robust Inference via Generalized Posteriors Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process A note on connections between the Föllmer process and the denoising diffusion probabilistic model Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations A Fourier perspective on the learning dynamics of neural networks: from sample complexities to mechanistic insights Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps Dimension-Uniform Discretization Analysis of Preconditioned Annealed Langevin Dynamics for Multimodal Gaussian Mixtures $α$-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors Scaling Laws from Sequential Feature Recovery: A Solvable Hierarchical Model On the Limits of Latent Reuse in Diffusion Models State-of-art minibatches via novel DPP kernels: discretization, wavelets, and rough objectives
Frictional martingale optimal transport and robust hedging
Pratik Rai · 2025-10-09 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

We study the martingale optimal transport problem with state-dependent trading frictions and develop a geometric and duality framework extending from the one time-step to the multi-marginal setting. Building on the left-monotone structure of frictionless MOT (Beiglböck and Juillet, Ann. Probab., 2016; Henry-Labordère and Touzi, Finance Stoch., 2016; Beiglböck et al., Ann. Probab., 2017), we introduce a convex frictional cost combining proportional bid-ask spreads and quadratic liquidity impacts. The framework extends the martingale Spence-Mirrlees condition to nonlinear frictions and establishes a frictional monotonicity principle. At each time step, the joint distribution between consecutive asset prices exhibits a bi-atomic, monotone geometry: conditional on the current price, the next price lies on one of two monotone branches representing upward and downward rebalancing. A no-transaction region, or trade band, arises where maintaining the position is optimal, while outside the band, transitions follow two monotone graphs whose endpoints satisfy an equal-slope condition balancing continuation value and marginal trading cost. The framework extends dynamically via a recursive identity, ensuring stability and convergence to the frictionless left-curtain limit, and applies to model-independent pricing and robust hedging of path-dependent derivatives.