惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园 - 【当耐特】
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
罗磊的独立博客
C
Check Point Blog
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
月光博客
月光博客
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
博客园_首页
J
Java Code Geeks
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
爱范儿
爱范儿
I
InfoQ
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
B
Blog RSS Feed

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Preconditioned Robust Neural Posterior Estimation for Mis...
Ryan P. Kelly, David T. Frazier, David J. Warne, Christopher C. · 2026-02-20 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter estimation for complex stochastic models with intractable likelihoods when model simulation is feasible. Neural posterior estimation (NPE) is a popular SBI approach that often achieves accurate inference with far fewer simulations than classical approaches. But in practice, neural approaches can be unreliable for two reasons: incompatible data summaries arising from model misspecification yield unreliable posteriors due to extrapolation, and prior-predictive draws can produce extreme summaries that lead to difficulties in obtaining an accurate posterior for the observed data of interest. Existing preconditioning schemes target well-specified settings, and their behaviour under misspecification remains unexplored. We study preconditioning under misspecification and propose preconditioned robust neural posterior estimation, which computes data-dependent weights that focus training near the observed summaries and fits a robust neural posterior approximation. We also introduce a forest-proximity preconditioning approach that uses tree-based proximity scores to down-weight outlying simulations and concentrate computation around the observed dataset. Across two synthetic examples and one real example with incompatible summaries and extreme prior-predictive behaviour, we demonstrate that preconditioning combined with robust NPE increases stability and improves accuracy, calibration, and posterior-predictive fit over standard baseline methods.