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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
ML4C: Seeing Causality Through Latent Vicinity
Haoyue Dai, Rui Ding, Yuanyuan Jiang, Shi Han, Dongmei Zhang · 2021-10-02 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Supervised Causal Learning (SCL) aims to learn causal relations from observational data by accessing previously seen datasets associated with ground truth causal relations. This paper presents a first attempt at addressing a fundamental question: What are the benefits from supervision and how does it benefit? Starting from seeing that SCL is not better than random guessing if the learning target is non-identifiable a priori, we propose a two-phase paradigm for SCL by explicitly considering structure identifiability. Following this paradigm, we tackle the problem of SCL on discrete data and propose ML4C. The core of ML4C is a binary classifier with a novel learning target: it classifies whether an Unshielded Triple (UT) is a v-structure or not. Specifically, starting from an input dataset with the corresponding skeleton provided, ML4C orients each UT once it is classified as a v-structure. These v-structures are together used to construct the final output. To address the fundamental question of SCL, we propose a principled method for ML4C featurization: we exploit the vicinity of a given UT (i.e., the neighbors of UT in skeleton), and derive features by considering the conditional dependencies and structural entanglement within the vicinity. We further prove that ML4C is asymptotically correct. Last but foremost, thorough experiments conducted on benchmark datasets demonstrate that ML4C remarkably outperforms other state-of-the-art algorithms in terms of accuracy, reliability, robustness and tolerance. In summary, ML4C shows promising results on validating the effectiveness of supervision for causal learning. Our codes are publicly available at https://github.com/microsoft/ML4C.