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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Consistent DAG selection for Bayesian causal discovery un...
Anamitra Chaudhuri, Anirban Bhattacharya, Yang Ni · 2025-08-02 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

We consider the problem of learning the underlying causal structure among a set of variables, which are assumed to follow a Bayesian network or, more specifically, a linear recursive structural equation model (SEM) with the associated errors being independent and allowed to be non-Gaussian. A Bayesian hierarchical model is proposed to identify the true data-generating directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure where the nodes and edges represent the variables and the direct causal effects, respectively. Moreover, incorporating the information of non-Gaussian errors, we characterize the distribution equivalence class of the true DAG, which specifies the best possible extent to which the DAG can be identified based on purely observational data. Furthermore, under the consideration that the errors are distributed as some scale mixture of Gaussian, where the mixing distribution is unspecified, and mild distributional assumptions, we establish that by employing a non-standard DAG prior, the posterior probability of the distribution equivalence class of the true DAG converges to unity as the sample size grows. This shows that the proposed method achieves the posterior DAG selection consistency, which is further illustrated with examples and simulation studies.