惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
博客园 - 聂微东
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
Vercel News
Vercel News
D
DataBreaches.Net
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
L
LangChain Blog
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
F
Fortinet All Blogs
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
J
Java Code Geeks
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
Jina AI
Jina AI
G
Google Developers Blog
腾讯CDC
博客园_首页
博客园 - 【当耐特】

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Assessment of Spatio-Temporal Predictors in the Presence ...
Daniele Zambon, Cesare Alippi · 2023-02-03 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no longer apply. These difficulties are particularly pronounced for spatio-temporal data, which exhibit dependencies across both space and time and are often characterized by nonlinear dynamics, time variance, and missing observations, hence calling for new accuracy assessment methodologies. This paper introduces a residual correlation analysis framework for assessing the optimality of spatio-temporal relational-enabled neural predictive models, notably in settings with incomplete and heterogeneous data. By leveraging the principle that residual correlation indicates information not captured by the model, enabling the identification and localization of regions in space and time where predictive performance can be improved. A strength of the proposed approach is that it operates under minimal assumptions, allowing also for robust evaluation of deep learning models applied to multivariate time series, even in the presence of missing and heterogeneous data. In detail, the methodology constructs tailored spatio-temporal graphs to encode sparse spatial and temporal dependencies and employs asymptotically distribution-free summary statistics to detect time intervals and spatial regions where the model underperforms. The effectiveness of what proposed is demonstrated through experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets using state-of-the-art predictive models.